URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
CA River Plate
Match Timeline
Plaza Colonia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
H. Vergara
Plaza Colonia
30'
S. Otegui
CA River Plate
39'
J. Silva
CA River Plate
46'
L. Carrizo
Plaza Colonia
66'
I. Lopez
CA River Plate

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.7%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA River Plate Win 59.7%
Draw 5%
Plaza Colonia Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA River Plate1.07
Plaza Colonia1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA River Plate CA River Plate
WWDLW
20 GF / 27 GA
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
10
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA River Plate CA River Plate 15 matches
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 15 matches
CA River Plate Statistic Plaza Colonia
5 Wins 7
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 4
20 Goals For 17
27 Goals Against 10
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
10 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Plaza Colonia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Plaza Colonia having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

CA River Plate Analysis

CA River Plate come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

So far, Plaza Colonia have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CA River Plate won 4 times, Plaza Colonia won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from CA River Plate's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
H2H summary: CA River Plate wins 4, draws 6, Plaza Colonia wins 5
Last matches: CA River Plate
04.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
2
1
W
28.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
La Luz
0
0
D
20.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Cerrito
6
4
W
06.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Fenix
1
3
L
31.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Atenas
0
2
L
23.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
2
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
1
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
2
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
1
L
28.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
23.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Wanderers
4
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Danubio
1
0
W
19.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
12.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Juventud
2
1
W
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
04.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
20.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atenas
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
05.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Sportivo Huracan
0
0
D
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
22.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
3
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
0
W
17.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
0
2
L
03.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
2
0
W
20.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
0
1
L
H2H: CA River Plate vs Plaza Colonia
28.03.26
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
1
1
D
19.06.25
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
0
0
D
29.03.25
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
26.08.23
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
0
1
W
11.02.23
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
15.07.22
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
0
0
D
12.02.22
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
0
1
W
20.10.21
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
0
0
D
22.06.21
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
26.03.21
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
1
0
L
06.10.20
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
09.10.19
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
17.03.19
H2H
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
1
0
L
Last matches: CA River Plate
28.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
La Luz
0
0
D
14.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Cerrito
6
4
W
31.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Atenas
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
1
0
W
26.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
2
1
W
23.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
1
3
L
02.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
03.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Racing Montevideo
2
3
L
14.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Progreso
0
0
D
30.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Club Nacional
0
3
L
17.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Atletico Torque
0
2
L
02.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Cerro
0
0
D
H2H at home: CA River Plate
29.03.25
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
11.02.23
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
22.06.21
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
06.10.20
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
09.10.19
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
2
0
W
05.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
1
6
L
06.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Penarol
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Wanderers
0
0
D
16.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
1
W
04.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
1
0
W
13.10.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.09.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
SUD America
3
3
D
20.09.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
3
L
08.09.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cooper
2
0
W
H2H away: Plaza Colonia
29.03.25
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
2
W
11.02.23
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
2
0
L
06.08.22
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
2
0
L
22.06.21
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
06.10.20
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
09.10.19
H2H
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D

Standings

Segunda Division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 1 2 17:8 9 19
D W W W L
2 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
W W D L W
3 9 4 3 2 14:13 1 15
D W L L W
4 10 4 3 3 10:9 1 15
W W D W D
5 9 4 2 3 8:8 0 14
D L W L W
6 9 3 4 2 14:11 3 13
W L D D W
7 9 3 4 2 14:11 3 13
D W L W D
8 10 4 1 5 10:11 -1 13
L W L L W
9 10 3 3 4 8:12 -4 12
L L L W W
10 9 2 5 2 14:12 2 11
L D D W D
11 9 3 2 4 8:12 -4 11
L W W L L
12 9 2 4 3 6:8 -2 10
L D W L L
13 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
W L L L W
14 9 2 1 6 9:14 -5 7
L W L L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)