URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
CA River Plate
Match Timeline
Miramar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
50'
C. Techera
CA River Plate
69'
S. Romero
CA River Plate
90+2'
I. Lopez
CA River Plate

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA River Plate Win 44.1%
Draw 13.3%
Miramar Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA River Plate1.33
Miramar1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA River Plate CA River Plate
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Miramar Miramar
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
12
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA River Plate CA River Plate 19 matches
Miramar Miramar 19 matches
CA River Plate Statistic Miramar
7 Wins 4
4 Draws 7
8 Losses 8
26 Goals For 18
31 Goals Against 24
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Miramar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. CA River Plate have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Miramar having the stronger overall control.

CA River Plate Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 13, CA River Plate still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Miramar Analysis

So far, Miramar have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 5 points from 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 3:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, CA River Plate won 3 times, Miramar won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from CA River Plate's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.56 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
H2H summary: CA River Plate wins 3, draws 4, Miramar wins 2
Last matches: CA River Plate
09.08.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
02.08.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
18.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
11.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
3
2
W
04.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
2
1
W
28.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
La Luz
0
0
D
20.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Cerrito
6
4
W
06.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Fenix
1
3
L
31.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Atenas
0
2
L
23.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
2
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
1
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
2
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
1
L
28.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
23.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Wanderers
4
0
W
Last matches: Miramar
09.08.26
Seg
Miramar
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
01.08.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
26.07.26
Seg
Miramar
La Luz
0
1
L
12.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Cerrito
0
1
L
06.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
19.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
08.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
2
2
D
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
25.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Fenix
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
10.05.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
06.04.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
W
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
22.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
H2H: CA River Plate vs Miramar
15.08.26
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
3
0
W
10.05.26
H2H
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
06.04.26
H2H
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
L
02.11.25
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
Miramar
CA River Plate
3
0
L
13.11.24
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Miramar
CA River Plate
0
0
D
08.03.14
H2H
Miramar
CA River Plate
0
2
W
06.10.13
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
0
W
Last matches: CA River Plate
09.08.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
11.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
3
2
W
28.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
La Luz
0
0
D
14.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Cerrito
6
4
W
31.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Atenas
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
1
0
W
26.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
2
1
W
23.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
1
3
L
02.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
03.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Racing Montevideo
2
3
L
14.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Progreso
0
0
D
30.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Club Nacional
0
3
L
17.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Atletico Torque
0
2
L
02.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Cerro
0
0
D
H2H at home: CA River Plate
15.08.26
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
3
0
W
02.11.25
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
13.11.24
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
0
D
06.10.13
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
0
W
Last matches: Miramar
01.08.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
12.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Cerrito
0
1
L
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Club Nacional
1
3
L
03.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Atletico Torque
0
3
L
21.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Cerro
0
1
L
07.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Progreso
2
3
L
31.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Danubio
3
2
W
16.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Juventud
1
2
L
03.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
3
1
W
03.12.23
Seg
Miramar
Albion FC
2
0
W
26.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Juventud
1
0
W
15.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Rampla Juniors
0
0
D
H2H away: Miramar
15.08.26
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
3
0
L
02.11.25
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
13.11.24
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
0
D
06.10.13
H2H
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
0
L

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D