13.09.2026 15:30
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

CA River Plate vs Fenix Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.9%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA River Plate Win 54.9%
Draw 4.6%
Fenix Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA River Plate1.26
Fenix1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA River Plate CA River Plate
WWDLW
31 GF / 34 GA
Fenix Fenix
WLDWL
35 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
13
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA River Plate CA River Plate 23 matches
Fenix Fenix 24 matches
CA River Plate Statistic Fenix
8 Wins 9
6 Draws 9
9 Losses 6
31 Goals For 35
34 Goals Against 27
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
13 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fenix's more proactive style and CA River Plate's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CA River Plate have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Fenix carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 11 points while CA River Plate sit 13 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fenix. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fenix having the stronger overall control.

CA River Plate Analysis

CA River Plate approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 4 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fenix Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 11 points from 6 games, Fenix bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3
Fenix Away
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D