ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
26.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros

CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 84.4%
Draw 7.2%
San Miguel Win 8.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes1
San Miguel0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
San Miguel San Miguel
WLDWL
24 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
0.77
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
10
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 31 matches
San Miguel San Miguel 31 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic San Miguel
11 Wins 6
9 Draws 13
11 Losses 12
27 Goals For 24
27 Goals Against 37
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
10 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 22
8 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around CA Estudiantes's more proactive style and San Miguel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CA Estudiantes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 39 points compared to San Miguel in 17 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Miguel. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Miguel having the stronger overall control. San Miguel arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

From their first 29 matches, CA Estudiantes have collected 39 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 26:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

San Miguel Analysis

San Miguel sit 17 with 30 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 12 draws, and 11 defeats with a 23:33 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 2 times, San Miguel won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 2, draws 4, San Miguel wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 30 16 7 7 48:29 19 55
L W W W D
3 30 15 7 8 38:26 12 52
W W W W L
4 30 13 10 7 44:28 16 49
W L W L W
5 30 13 9 8 38:25 13 48
W L L L W
6 30 12 10 8 23:17 6 46
L D D W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 30 8 13 9 22:20 2 37
L D D D D
10 30 9 9 12 27:29 -2 36
W D W D W
11 30 8 12 10 23:26 -3 36
W W D W L
12 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L L L W D
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 30 6 13 11 19:28 -9 31
L D D D D
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation