ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
CA Estudiantes
Match Timeline
Atletico Mitre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
M. Romero ↔ S. Rodriguez
Atletico Mitre
16'
F. Ardiles
CA Estudiantes
29'
F. Ardiles · Assist: E. Acosta
CA Estudiantes
30'
M. Acosta · Assist: T. Squie
CA Estudiantes
🔄
34'
S. Rosales ↔ L. Mendoza
Atletico Mitre
🔄
70'
M. Acosta ↔ T. Nunez
CA Estudiantes
🔄
71'
T. Squie ↔ I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
77'
O. Garrido ↔ A. Lopez
Atletico Mitre
🔄
77'
M. Vazquez ↔ M. Maldonado
Atletico Mitre
🔄
77'
↔ J. Zarate
Atletico Mitre
🔄
81'
J. Correa ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🔄
81'
E. Acosta ↔ E. Almiron
CA Estudiantes
🔄
85'
F. Sena ↔ L. Silva
CA Estudiantes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.4%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 70.4%
Draw 10%
Atletico Mitre Win 19.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes0.95
Atletico Mitre0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
15 GF / 18 GA
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
6
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 20 matches
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 19 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Atletico Mitre
7 Wins 3
6 Draws 9
7 Losses 7
15 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 24
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
6 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 8
0 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Mitre arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. CA Estudiantes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 26 points compared to Atletico Mitre in 17 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Mitre. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico Mitre having the stronger overall control.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes are currently 8 in the standings with 26 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 14:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 17, Atletico Mitre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats with a 18:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 6 times, Atletico Mitre won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 6, draws 1, Atletico Mitre wins 4

Lineups

CA Estudiantes
Formation
Atletico Mitre
J. Lungarzo
J. Lungarzo
M. Albarracin
M. Albarracin
J. Benitez
J. Benitez
Caro Nicolas
Caro Nicolas
T. Squie
🎯
T. Squie
F. Ardiles
⚽ 2
F. Ardiles
R. Melo
R. Melo
F. Sena
F. Sena
E. Acosta
🎯
E. Acosta
J. Correa
J. Correa
M. Acosta
M. Acosta
J. Ledesma
J. Ledesma
P. Minissale
P. Minissale
J. Alessandroni
J. Alessandroni
G. Herdt
G. Herdt
M. Romero
M. Romero
O. Garrido
O. Garrido
I. Antunes
I. Antunes
M. Vazquez
M. Vazquez
F. Ferrari
F. Ferrari
S. Rosales
S. Rosales
M. Machado
M. Machado
CA Estudiantes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Lungarzo
4
M. Albarracin
2
J. Benitez
6
Caro Nicolas
3
T. Squie
🎯 30' ↓ 71'
7
F. Ardiles
⚽ 16' ⚽ 29'
5
R. Melo
8
F. Sena
↓ 85'
11
E. Acosta
🎯 29' ↓ 81'
10
J. Correa
↓ 81'
9
M. Acosta
⚽ 30' ↓ 70'
Substitutes
12
F. Vila
13
B. Bernardi
15
T. Nunez
↑ 70'
17
S. Camacho
↑ 81'
18
B. Degregorio
14
F. Dure
16
L. Silva
↑ 85'
20
E. Almiron
↑ 81'
19
I. Vera
↑ 71'
Atletico Mitre 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Ledesma
2
P. Minissale
5
J. Alessandroni
6
G. Herdt
3
M. Romero
↓ 4'
7
O. Garrido
↓ 77'
4
I. Antunes
8
M. Vazquez
↓ 77'
11
F. Ferrari
10
S. Rosales
↓ 34'
9
M. Machado
Substitutes
20
F. Cabral
15
M. Ferrari
18
A. Lopez
↑ 77'
17
M. Maldonado
↑ 77'
14
B. Mieres
12
I. Pietrobono
13
S. Rodriguez
↑ 4'
19
J. Zarate
↑ 77'
16
L. Mendoza
↑ 34'
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
01.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
05.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Los Andes
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chaco For Ever
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Madryn
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
1
3
L
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Los Andes
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Miguel
4
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Telmo
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Acassuso
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
3
L
29.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
H2H: CA Estudiantes vs Atletico Mitre
11.07.26
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
0
W
23.02.26
H2H
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
1
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
31.05.25
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
2
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
0
1
L
21.05.23
H2H
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
3
0
L
12.06.22
H2H
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
2
0
L
23.10.21
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
5
0
W
29.06.21
H2H
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
0
2
W
08.02.20
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
2
W
17.08.19
H2H
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
0
1
W
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
25.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
2
L
05.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chaco For Ever
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
18.05.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Sacachispas
4
2
W
08.05.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
1
2
L
20.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Barracas Central
0
0
D
29.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Flandria
2
0
W
20.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Riestra
1
2
L
09.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atlanta
3
1
W
22.02.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Talleres Remedios
2
0
W
10.02.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Colegiales
0
0
D
02.02.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
02.12.18
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Fénix
3
3
D
H2H at home: CA Estudiantes
11.07.26
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
2
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
0
1
L
23.10.21
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
5
0
W
08.02.20
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
2
W
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
0
W
21.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
1
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Telmo
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
2
L
H2H away: Atletico Mitre
11.07.26
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
0
L
31.05.25
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
2
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
0
1
W
23.10.21
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
5
0
L
08.02.20
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
2
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation