ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
13.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
CA Estudiantes
Match Timeline
Acassuso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Caro Nicolas
CA Estudiantes
🟨
29'
F. Quinteros
CA Estudiantes
🔄
46'
R. Rodriguez ↔ E. Almiron
CA Estudiantes
🔄
69'
M. Acosta ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🔄
69'
R. Melo ↔ B. Sanchez de Leon
CA Estudiantes
🔄
69'
E. Acosta ↔ I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
75'
T. Rodriguez ↔ J. Raccio
Acassuso
🔄
75'
A. Hermoso ↔ F. Senn
Acassuso
🟨
76'
D. Escalante
Acassuso
🔄
81'
F. Dure ↔ M. Albarracin
CA Estudiantes
82'
E. Almiron · Assist: I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
83'
A. Ruiz ↔ V. Serrano
Acassuso
🟨
86'
M. Albarracin
CA Estudiantes
🔄
86'
N. Acosta ↔ R. Reynoso
Acassuso
🔄
90'
N. Petillo ↔ A. Gonzalez
Acassuso

CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.4%
Odds 1.64
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.4%
1.64
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 74.4%
Draw 5.8%
Acassuso Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes1
Acassuso0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
25 GF / 27 GA
Acassuso Acassuso
WLDWL
21 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.7
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
10
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 29 matches
Acassuso Acassuso 30 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Acassuso
9 Wins 6
9 Draws 8
11 Losses 16
25 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 36
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
10 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by CA Estudiantes's more proactive style and Acassuso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Acassuso. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. CA Estudiantes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 36 points compared to Acassuso in 18 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Acassuso having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Acassuso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

So far, CA Estudiantes have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 36 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, while the 25:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Acassuso Analysis

With 23 points from 27 games and a place of 18, Acassuso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 19:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 7 times, Acassuso won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 7, draws 4, Acassuso wins 4

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation