TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade 15 Octobre
CA Bizertin
Match Timeline
ES Zarzis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
Y. Abubakar
ES Zarzis
🟨
33'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin
🔄
46'
A. Amri ↔ O. Faty
CA Bizertin
🔄
46'
R. Mguig ↔ D. Onyemuchara
ES Zarzis
🟨
53'
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis
🔄
59'
A. Chaabane ↔ W. Chihi
CA Bizertin
🔄
59'
M. Diop ↔ W. Timi
CA Bizertin
🟨
62'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin
🔄
63'
I. Cissoko ↔ F. Onyemaechi Adegbile
CA Bizertin
🔄
72'
M. Ghrab ↔ R. Sghaier
ES Zarzis
🔄
78'
Y. Abubakar ↔ M. Cissokho
ES Zarzis
🔄
81'
R. Mechergui ↔ Z. Berrima
CA Bizertin
89'
K. Kassab
ES Zarzis
🔄
90+3'
L. Rjili ↔ M. Sghaier
ES Zarzis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
42.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Bizertin Win 58.7%
Draw 0%
ES Zarzis Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Bizertin0.76
ES Zarzis0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Bizertin CA Bizertin
WWDLW
18 GF / 25 GA
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
1
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
6
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 28 matches
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis 28 matches
CA Bizertin Statistic ES Zarzis
8 Wins 10
9 Draws 8
11 Losses 10
18 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 26
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
6 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 11
1 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 11
15 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Zarzis having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ES Zarzis. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CA Bizertin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

CA Bizertin Analysis

CA Bizertin sit 12 with 33 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 18:27, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Amri (2 goals), I. Cissoko (2 goals), M. Allela (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

ES Zarzis Analysis

So far, ES Zarzis have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 38 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 28:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Rahmani (7 goals), I. Nshuti (6 goals), O. Stanley (5 goals), with creative support from M. Rahmani (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CA Bizertin won 2 times, ES Zarzis won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from CA Bizertin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: CA Bizertin wins 2, draws 6, ES Zarzis wins 7

Lineups

CA Bizertin
Formation
ES Zarzis
M. Hanzouli
M. Hanzouli
R. Mechergui
R. Mechergui
A. Mouelhi
A. Mouelhi
Y. Dakhlaoui
Y. Dakhlaoui
M. Allela
M. Allela
A. Amri
A. Amri
A. Chaabane
A. Chaabane
I. Cissoko
I. Cissoko
I. Kane
I. Kane
M. Diop
M. Diop
I. Midani
I. Midani
H. Ghanmi
H. Ghanmi
L. Rjili
L. Rjili
M. Ghrab
M. Ghrab
Y. Abubakar
Y. Abubakar
A. Toure
A. Toure
A. Tajourii
A. Tajourii
K. Kassab
K. Kassab
M. Chouchane
M. Chouchane
M. Zidi
M. Zidi
A. M. Yassine
A. M. Yassine
R. Mguig
R. Mguig
CA Bizertin 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
M. Hanzouli
2
R. Mechergui
↓ 81'
30
A. Mouelhi
27
Y. Dakhlaoui
24
M. Allela
9
A. Amri
↓ 46'
10
A. Chaabane
↓ 59'
8
I. Cissoko
↓ 63'
35
I. Kane
18
M. Diop
↓ 59'
17
I. Midani
Substitutes
29
Z. Berrima
↑ 81'
12
W. Chihi
↑ 59'
5
F. Akeremi
11
W. Timi
↑ 59'
26
F. Onyemaechi Adegbile
↑ 63'
22
Y. Maktouf
19
H. Hammami
33
O. Faty
↑ 46'
15
M. Glo
ES Zarzis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
H. Ghanmi
28
L. Rjili
↓ 90+3'
55
M. Ghrab
↓ 72'
12
Y. Abubakar
⚽ 17' ↓ 78'
64
A. Toure
27
A. Tajourii
13
K. Kassab
⚽ 89'
5
M. Chouchane
24
M. Zidi
99
A. M. Yassine
9
R. Mguig
↓ 46'
Substitutes
1
H. Taleb
23
M. Sghaier
↑ 90+3'
18
Y. Dhiflaoui
20
J. Ifi
19
D. Onyemuchara
↑ 46'
2
M. Cissokho
↑ 78'
52
J. Kilani
A. Zayed
21
R. Sghaier
↑ 72'
Last matches: CA Bizertin
09.05.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Sahel
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
2
L
30.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Olympique Béja
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Tunis
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Soliman
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
JS Kairouanaise
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Monastirienne
0
0
D
13.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Gabes
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Club Africain
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
21.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
CS Sfaxien
0
4
L
17.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Sahel
1
1
D
05.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
0
2
L
02.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
30.10.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Tunis
0
2
L
22.10.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Stade Tunisien
0
2
L
Last matches: ES Zarzis
09.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
3
1
W
30.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Marsa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
06.03.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
16.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
22.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
3
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
0
0
D
04.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
3
L
H2H: CA Bizertin vs ES Zarzis
20.05.26
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
2
0
L
13.05.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
2
L
22.11.25
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
3
0
L
26.02.25
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
4
1
W
03.11.24
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
1
0
L
20.01.18
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
2
L
20.08.17
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
1
0
L
21.04.17
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
0
1
W
10.03.17
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
18.12.16
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
16.10.16
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
1
D
23.04.16
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
1
D
20.11.15
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
08.03.15
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
3
L
14.09.14
H2H
ES Zarzis
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
Last matches: CA Bizertin
04.05.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Tunis
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Soliman
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Monastirienne
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
08.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Sahel
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Stade Tunisien
0
2
L
28.09.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
17.09.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Gabes
3
0
W
16.08.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
CS Sfaxien
1
1
D
H2H at home: CA Bizertin
13.05.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
2
L
26.02.25
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
4
1
W
20.01.18
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
2
L
10.03.17
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
16.10.16
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
1
D
23.04.16
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
1
D
08.03.15
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
3
L
Last matches: ES Zarzis
30.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Marsa
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Tunis
2
2
D
06.03.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Soliman
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Monastirienne
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
US Ben Guerdane
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
ES Zarzis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
05.11.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
ES Sahel
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
04.10.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
3
L
20.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
JS Kairouanaise
4
1
W
14.09.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
AS Gabes
1
0
W
22.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
Club Africain
2
1
W
10.08.25
Lig
ES Zarzis
CS Sfaxien
2
1
W
H2H away: ES Zarzis
13.05.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
2
W
26.02.25
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
4
1
L
20.01.18
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
2
W
10.03.17
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
16.10.16
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
1
D
23.04.16
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
1
D
08.03.15
H2H
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
1
3
W