TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade 15 Octobre
CA Bizertin
Match Timeline
AS Marsa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
AS Marsa
AS Marsa
🟥
17'
Y. Arfaoui
AS Marsa
20'
M. Khaloui
AS Marsa
🔄
24'
O. Traidi ↔ H. Msallem
AS Marsa
33'
Y. Dao
AS Marsa
34'
O. Ayinde
CA Bizertin
🟨
63'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin
🟨
63'
CA Bizertin
CA Bizertin
🟨
73'
AS Marsa
AS Marsa
🟨
75'
AS Marsa
AS Marsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
33.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Bizertin Win 51.8%
Draw 21.4%
AS Marsa Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Bizertin0.81
AS Marsa0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Bizertin CA Bizertin
WWDLW
17 GF / 22 GA
AS Marsa AS Marsa
WLDWL
20 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
0.77
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 26 matches
AS Marsa AS Marsa 26 matches
CA Bizertin Statistic AS Marsa
8 Wins 9
9 Draws 1
9 Losses 16
17 Goals For 20
22 Goals Against 27
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
5 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AS Marsa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AS Marsa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AS Marsa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

CA Bizertin Analysis

CA Bizertin sit 10 with 33 points after 27 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 17:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Amri (2 goals), I. Cissoko (2 goals), M. Allela (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

AS Marsa Analysis

With 31 points from 27 games and a place of 12, AS Marsa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 22:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Hadhri (7 goals), A. Ben Hamida (2 goals), Y. Arfaoui (2 goals), with creative support from G. Kalu (1 assists), O. Adejoh (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, CA Bizertin won 2 times, AS Marsa won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from CA Bizertin's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
H2H summary: CA Bizertin wins 2, draws 3, AS Marsa wins 2

Lineups

CA Bizertin
Formation
AS Marsa
Y. Maktouf
Y. Maktouf
M. Allela
M. Allela
M. Doukali
M. Doukali
M. Gasmi
M. Gasmi
R. Rehimi
R. Rehimi
B. Fonseca
B. Fonseca
A. Dridi
A. Dridi
I. Cissoko
I. Cissoko
W. Chihi
W. Chihi
Z. Berrima
Z. Berrima
O. Ayinde
O. Ayinde
S. Helal
S. Helal
O. Jebali
O. Jebali
O. Traidi
O. Traidi
Y. Arfaoui
Y. Arfaoui
S. Mestari
S. Mestari
F. Aifia
F. Aifia
Y. Dao
Y. Dao
M. Khaloui
M. Khaloui
O. Adejoh
O. Adejoh
M. Chaouch
M. Chaouch
R. Gneba
R. Gneba
CA Bizertin 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
Y. Maktouf
24
M. Allela
20
M. Doukali
31
M. Gasmi
4
R. Rehimi
21
B. Fonseca
14
A. Dridi
8
I. Cissoko
12
W. Chihi
29
Z. Berrima
28
O. Ayinde
⚽ 34'
Substitutes
16
M. Hanzouli
26
H. Amamou
23
Y. Kchouk
35
I. Kane
17
I. Midani
10
A. Chaabane
27
M. Nourani
18
M. Diop
9
H. Hammami
AS Marsa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
S. Helal
17
O. Jebali
11
O. Traidi
↓ 24'
5
Y. Arfaoui
🟥 17'
6
S. Mestari
10
F. Aifia
25
Y. Dao
⚽ 33'
27
M. Khaloui
⚽ 20'
21
O. Adejoh
2
M. Chaouch
15
R. Gneba
Substitutes
1
A. Soltani
29
F. Neji
13
M. Traidi
7
K. Hammami
24
H. Mansour
3
H. Hichri
14
H. Msallem
↑ 24'
28
A. Ben Hamida
26
Victorino Polaco
Last matches: CA Bizertin
13.05.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Sahel
0
1
L
30.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Olympique Béja
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Tunis
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Stade Tunisien
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Soliman
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
JS Kairouanaise
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Monastirienne
0
0
D
13.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Gabes
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Club Africain
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
21.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
CS Sfaxien
0
4
L
17.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Sahel
1
1
D
05.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
0
2
L
02.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
30.10.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Tunis
0
2
L
22.10.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Stade Tunisien
0
2
L
Last matches: AS Marsa
12.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
3
L
30.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Zarzis
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
1
L
19.04.26
Fri
AS Marsa
Club Africain
3
3
D
13.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Olympique Béja
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Tunis
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Stade Tunisien
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Soliman
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
JS Kairouanaise
1
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Monastirienne
0
1
L
28.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Gabes
1
0
W
23.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Ben Guerdane
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Club Africain
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
05.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
2
L
19.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
H2H: CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
04.05.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
2
L
22.03.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
1
D
05.11.25
H2H
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
0
L
01.06.24
H2H
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
2
2
D
09.03.24
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
0
W
25.11.23
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
3
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
AS Marsa
CA Bizertin
0
0
D
Last matches: CA Bizertin
13.05.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Zarzis
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Tunis
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Soliman
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Monastirienne
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
US Ben Guerdane
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
08.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
ES Sahel
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
Stade Tunisien
0
2
L
28.09.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
17.09.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
AS Gabes
3
0
W
16.08.25
Lig
CA Bizertin
CS Sfaxien
1
1
D
H2H at home: CA Bizertin
04.05.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
2
L
22.03.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
0
W
25.11.23
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
3
1
W
Last matches: AS Marsa
12.05.26
Lig
AS Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Sahel
0
1
L
19.04.26
Fri
AS Marsa
Club Africain
3
3
D
13.04.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Metlaoui
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
AS Marsa
ES Tunis
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Soliman
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Monastirienne
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
AS Marsa
US Ben Guerdane
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lig
AS Marsa
CS Sfaxien
0
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Olympique Béja
6
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Stade Tunisien
0
1
L
11.09.25
Lig
AS Marsa
JS Kairouanaise
1
2
L
22.08.25
Lig
AS Marsa
AS Gabes
1
2
L
09.08.25
Lig
AS Marsa
Club Africain
0
1
L
H2H away: AS Marsa
04.05.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
2
W
22.03.26
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
1
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
CA Bizertin
AS Marsa
3
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation