ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Pirelli Stadium
Referee: Peter Wright, England
Burton Albion
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
L. Nordas · Assist: Z. Nelson
Luton
🟨
31'
Zack Nelson
Luton
45'
M. Alli
Luton
🔄
46'
D. Williams ↔ K. Chauke
Burton Albion
🔄
46'
J. J. McKiernan ↔ J. Larsson
Burton Albion
59'
Z. Nelson · Assist: L. Nordas
Luton
🔄
73'
J. Yates ↔ N. Wells
Luton
🔄
74'
Z. Nelson ↔ L. Walsh
Luton
🔄
78'
G. Kodua ↔ K. Naismith
Luton
🔄
80'
S. Revan ↔ J. Sraha
Burton Albion
🔄
81'
T. Shade ↔ F. Tavares
Burton Albion
🔄
89'
M. Alli ↔ C. Bramall
Luton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Burton Albion Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burton Albion0.99
Luton1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Luton Luton
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burton Albion Burton Albion 4 matches
Luton Luton 5 matches
Burton Albion Statistic Luton
1 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
5 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 3
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
3 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.6
13.75 Total Shots 11.8
5.5 Corners 6.6
46.8% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 3 times, Luton won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Burton Albion's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Burton Albion 3-4-1-2 / Luton 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Burton Albion wins 3, draws 1, Luton wins 2
Stats
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Luton Luton
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
323 Total passes 344
233 Passes accurate 264
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Burton Albion
Formation
Luton
J. Amissah
J. Amissah
U. Godwin-Malife
U. Godwin-Malife
T. Sibbick
T. Sibbick
J. Armer
J. Armer
K. Lofthouse
K. Lofthouse
D. Williams
D. Williams
C. Webster
C. Webster
S. Revan
S. Revan
J. J. McKiernan
J. J. McKiernan
T. Shade
T. Shade
J. Beesley
J. Beesley
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
C. Makosso
C. Makosso
M. McGuinness
M. McGuinness
N. Lonwijk
N. Lonwijk
G. Kodua
G. Kodua
G. Saville
G. Saville
J. Clark
J. Clark
M. Alli
M. Alli
Z. Nelson
🎯
Z. Nelson
L. Nordas
🎯
L. Nordas
J. Yates
J. Yates
Burton Albion 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
21
J. Amissah
G
2
U. Godwin-Malife
D
6
T. Sibbick
D
3
J. Armer
D
15
K. Lofthouse
M
19
D. Williams
↓ 46'
M
8
C. Webster
M
23
S. Revan
↓ 80'
M
7
J. J. McKiernan
↓ 46'
F
10
T. Shade
↓ 81'
F
9
J. Beesley
F
Substitutes
27
K. Dudek
G
4
K. Chauke
↑ 46'
M
11
F. Tavares
↑ 81'
F
18
J. Moon
D
20
J. Sraha
↑ 80'
D
22
J. Larsson
↑ 46'
F
39
J. Taroni
D
Luton 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
28
C. Makosso
D
6
M. McGuinness
D
17
N. Lonwijk
D
30
G. Kodua
↓ 78'
M
23
G. Saville
M
18
J. Clark
M
7
M. Alli
⚽ 45' ↓ 89'
M
37
Z. Nelson
⚽ 59' 🎯 18' ↓ 74' 🟨 31'
F
20
L. Nordas
⚽ 18' 🎯 59'
F
9
J. Yates
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
3
K. Naismith
↑ 78'
D
8
L. Walsh
↑ 74'
M
21
N. Wells
↑ 73'
F
27
J. Richards
M
33
C. Bramall
↑ 89'
D
42
C. Chigozie
D
Last matches: Burton Albion
15.08.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Birmingham
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Alfreton Town
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
H2H: Burton Albion vs Luton
21.02.26
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
30.08.25
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
0
3
L
27.04.19
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
2
1
W
22.12.18
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
2
0
L
11.04.15
H2H
Luton
Burton Albion
0
1
W
22.11.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
1
0
W
Last matches: Burton Albion
15.08.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Birmingham
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Burton Albion
West Ham
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Doncaster
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Cardiff
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Huddersfield
3
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wigan
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
5
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
0
4
L
H2H at home: Burton Albion
30.08.25
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
0
3
L
27.04.19
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
2
1
W
22.11.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
1
0
W
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
0
1
L
18.12.25
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
H2H away: Luton
30.08.25
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
0
3
W
27.04.19
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
2
1
L
22.11.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Luton
1
0
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Away
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two