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24.10.2026 14:00
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
Match Timeline
Leyton Orient
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
M. O’Mahony
Burton Albion
⚽
33'
Alexander George Henry Gilbert
Leyton Orient
⚽
56'
Kgagelo Chauke · Assist: Caylon Vickers
Burton Albion
🔄
58'
M. O’Mahony ↔ Gbemi Arubi
Burton Albion
🔄
64'
Dane Scarlett ↔ Aaron Connolly
Leyton Orient
🔄
64'
James Morris ↔ Phillip Chinedu
Leyton Orient
🔄
73'
Isaac Hayden ↔ Armando Dobra
Leyton Orient
🔄
77'
H. Araujo ↔ Emeka Adeile
Burton Albion
🔄
80'
Jaze Kabia ↔ Oliver O'Neill
Leyton Orient
⚽
86'
Will Collar · Assist: Caylon Vickers
Burton Albion

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Burton Albion Win 35.5%
Draw 4.2%
Leyton Orient Win 60.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burton Albion1.1
Leyton Orient1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burton Albion Burton Albion
D D L L W
4 GF / 6 GA
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
L W D L W
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
9
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
10
3.25
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burton Albion Burton Albion 17 matches
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 19 matches
Burton Albion Statistic Leyton Orient
4 Wins 8
7 Draws 3
6 Losses 8
18 Goals For 34
23 Goals Against 22
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
9 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 3
3.25 Shots On Goal 4.27
10.92 Total Shots 11.73
3.83 Corners 3.82
46.6% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Leyton Orient's more proactive style and Burton Albion's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Leyton Orient. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Burton Albion have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Burton Albion Analysis

Burton Albion approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 12 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 14:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Delap (3 goals), J. Armer (2 goals), K. Chauke (1 goals), with creative support from K. Lofthouse (3 assists), J. Armer (1 assists), Sulyman Krubally (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leyton Orient Analysis

Leyton Orient sit 13 with 11 points after 9 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 13:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Akhamrich (1 goals), J. Kabia (1 goals), T. Springett (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Akhamrich (1 assists), J. Kabia (1 assists), I. El Mizouni (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 2 times, Leyton Orient won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Burton Albion's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Burton Albion 3-4-2-1 / Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Burton Albion wins 2, draws 3, Leyton Orient wins 1

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 5 1 28:12 16 29
D W W W W
2 14 8 2 4 26:14 12 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 5 1 22:11 11 26
W D W D W
4 14 7 3 4 27:21 6 24
D W W W W
5 14 7 2 5 21:19 2 23
D W L L W
6 14 6 4 4 25:15 10 22
L D W W L
7 13 6 4 3 10:8 2 22
L D D W D
8 14 5 6 3 21:21 0 21
L D L D W
9 13 5 5 3 22:14 8 20
D D L L W
10 13 5 4 4 22:19 3 19
D W L W W
11 13 5 4 4 20:18 2 19
D L W W D
12 13 4 6 3 22:20 2 18
W W W L W
13 13 4 6 3 21:23 -2 18
W D D W L
14 13 5 2 6 19:14 5 17
W L L W D
15 14 4 5 5 18:21 -3 17
L W D D L
16 12 4 4 4 17:13 4 16
D L W L W
17 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
W D W L L
18 13 3 4 6 9:21 -12 13
L D L L L
19 12 3 3 6 17:21 -4 12
D L W L L
20 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
L L W L L
21 14 3 2 9 11:22 -11 11
D W L L L
22 13 2 4 7 11:23 -12 10
L D L D W
23 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
D L L L L
24 13 2 3 8 13:33 -20 9
L L D L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two