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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
20.10.2026 18:45
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Bradford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.6%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Burton Albion Win 35.7%
Draw 4.7%
Bradford Win 59.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burton Albion0.96
Bradford1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Bradford Bradford
WLDWL
25 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
8
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
3.1
Shots on Goal
3.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burton Albion Burton Albion 15 matches
Bradford Bradford 15 matches
Burton Albion Statistic Bradford
4 Wins 9
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 3
16 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 12
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
8 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 3
3.1 Shots On Goal 3.22
10 Total Shots 10.56
3.8 Corners 6.78
46.7% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bradford's more proactive style and Burton Albion's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bradford. Bradford carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 17 points while Burton Albion sit 10 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Burton Albion have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Burton Albion Analysis

Burton Albion approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 12 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 14:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Delap (3 goals), J. Armer (2 goals), K. Chauke (1 goals), with creative support from K. Lofthouse (3 assists), J. Armer (1 assists), Sulyman Krubally (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bradford Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 17 points from 9 games, Bradford bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 8:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Pointon (1 goals), J. Beesley (1 goals), A. Baldwin (1 goals), with creative support from B. Pointon (1 assists), J. Beesley (1 assists), M. Pennington (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 6 times, Bradford won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from Burton Albion's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Burton Albion 3-4-2-1 / Bradford 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Burton Albion wins 6, draws 3, Bradford wins 5

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two