Burnley vs Wolves Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Burnley
Wolves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burnley
39 matches
Wolves
40 matches
| Burnley | Statistic | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 25 | Losses | 25 |
| 43 | Goals For | 34 |
| 77 | Goals Against | 71 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 19 |
| 3.1 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 9.67 | Total Shots | 9.85 |
| 3.69 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 43.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Burnley expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wolves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wolves having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wolves. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Burnley sit 19 with 21 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 24 defeats, and the 37:74 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Z. Flemming (10 goals), J. Anthony (8 goals), J. Cullen (3 goals), with creative support from Quilindschy Hartman (5 assists), Hannibal Mejbri (4 assists), M. Edwards (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Wolves sit 20 with 19 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 26:67, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. S. Larsen (4 goals), Ladislav Krejčí (3 goals), M. Mane (3 goals), with creative support from Hwang Hee-Chan (2 assists), Adam Armstrong (2 assists), Hugo Bueno (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 5 times, Wolves won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Burnley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Burnley
Home
|
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 20 |
Wolves
Away
|
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|