ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Turf Moor
Referee: A. Kitchen
Burnley
Match Timeline
Wolves
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Ladislav Krejčí
Wolves
5'
A. Armstrong
Wolves
🟨
41'
Hwang Hee-chan
Wolves
🟨
45+9'
Hannibal Mejbri
Burnley
47'
Z. Flemming · Assist: L. Tchaouna
Burnley
🔄
66'
H. Mejbri ↔ Z. Amdouni
Burnley
🔄
66'
A. Gomes ↔ T. Arokodare
Wolves
🔄
66'
L. Krejci ↔ Toti
Wolves
🔄
74'
D. M. Wolfe ↔ H. Bueno
Wolves
🔄
74'
A. Armstrong ↔ J. Abbey
Wolves
🔄
75'
L. Ugochukwu ↔ J. Ward-Prowse
Burnley
🔄
75'
L. Tchaouna ↔ M. Edwards
Burnley
🔄
82'
R. Gomes ↔ Pedro Lima
Wolves
🔄
84'
Z. Flemming ↔ A. Barnes
Burnley
🔄
84'
J. Anthony ↔ J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🟨
90+4'
Ashley Barnes
Burnley
🟨
90+4'
Yerson Mosquera
Wolves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 39.6%
Draw 60.4%
Wolves Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.37
Wolves1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
43 GF / 77 GA
Wolves Wolves
WLDWL
34 GF / 71 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
23
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
19
3.1
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 39 matches
Wolves Wolves 40 matches
Burnley Statistic Wolves
5 Wins 5
9 Draws 10
25 Losses 25
43 Goals For 34
77 Goals Against 71
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
23 BTTS Yes 18
33 Over 1.5 31
21 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 5
14 Failed To Score 19
3.1 Shots On Goal 3.33
9.67 Total Shots 9.85
3.69 Corners 3.3
42.8% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Burnley expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wolves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wolves having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wolves. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Burnley Analysis

Burnley sit 19 with 21 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 24 defeats, and the 37:74 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Z. Flemming (10 goals), J. Anthony (8 goals), J. Cullen (3 goals), with creative support from Quilindschy Hartman (5 assists), Hannibal Mejbri (4 assists), M. Edwards (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wolves Analysis

Wolves sit 20 with 19 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 26:67, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. S. Larsen (4 goals), Ladislav Krejčí (3 goals), M. Mane (3 goals), with creative support from Hwang Hee-Chan (2 assists), Adam Armstrong (2 assists), Hugo Bueno (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 5 times, Wolves won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Burnley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Wolves 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Burnley 2, Wolves 4
H2H summary: Burnley wins 5, draws 6, Wolves wins 4
Stats
Burnley Burnley
Wolves Wolves
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
7
7 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 10
9 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 7
569 Total passes 225
498 Passes accurate 163
0.98 expected_goals 2.09
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Burnley
Formation
Wolves
M. Weiss
M. Weiss
K. Walker
K. Walker
A. Tuanzebe
A. Tuanzebe
B. Humphreys
B. Humphreys
Lucas Pires
Lucas Pires
Florentino
Florentino
L. Ugochukwu
L. Ugochukwu
L. Tchaouna
🎯
L. Tchaouna
H. Mejbri
H. Mejbri
J. Anthony
J. Anthony
Z. Flemming
Z. Flemming
J. Sa
J. Sa
Y. Mosquera
Y. Mosquera
S. Bueno
S. Bueno
L. Krejci
L. Krejci
R. Gomes
R. Gomes
Andre
Andre
A. Gomes
A. Gomes
D. M. Wolfe
D. M. Wolfe
M. Mane
M. Mane
Hwang Hee-Chan
Hwang Hee-Chan
A. Armstrong
A. Armstrong
Burnley 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
M. Weiss
G
2
K. Walker
D
6
A. Tuanzebe
D
12
B. Humphreys
D
23
Lucas Pires
D
16
Florentino
M
8
L. Ugochukwu
↓ 75'
M
17
L. Tchaouna
🎯 47' ↓ 75'
M
28
H. Mejbri
↓ 66' 🟨 45+9'
M
11
J. Anthony
↓ 84'
M
19
Z. Flemming
⚽ 47' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Dubravka
G
20
J. Ward-Prowse
↑ 75'
M
35
A. Barnes
↑ 84' 🟨 90+4'
F
29
J. Laurent
M
7
J. Bruun Larsen
↑ 84'
F
10
M. Edwards
↑ 75'
F
14
C. Roberts
D
18
H. Ekdal
D
25
Z. Amdouni
↑ 66'
F
Wolves 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Sa
G
15
Y. Mosquera
🟨 90+4'
D
4
S. Bueno
D
37
L. Krejci
↓ 66'
D
21
R. Gomes
↓ 82'
M
7
Andre
M
47
A. Gomes
↓ 66'
M
6
D. M. Wolfe
↓ 74'
M
36
M. Mane
F
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
🟨 41'
F
9
A. Armstrong
⚽ 5' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
25
D. Bentley
G
14
T. Arokodare
↑ 66'
F
60
E. Sutherland
M
24
Toti
↑ 66'
D
3
H. Bueno
↑ 74'
D
38
J. Tchatchoua
D
74
T. Edozie
17
Pedro Lima
↑ 82'
D
50
J. Abbey
↑ 74'
M
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
Last matches: Wolves
01.08.26
Fri
Wolves
Racing Santander
3
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Wolves
Doncaster
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Wolves
Real Sociedad
1
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Wolves
Maidenhead
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Fulham
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Brighton
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Sunderland
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Tottenham
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Leeds
0
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
Wolves
West Ham
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Brentford
2
2
D
06.03.26
FA
Wolves
Liverpool
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Liverpool
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Aston Villa
2
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Arsenal
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Wolves
Grimsby
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Chelsea
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Bournemouth
0
2
L
H2H: Burnley vs Wolves
24.05.26
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
2
3
W
28.08.24
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
2
0
L
02.04.24
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
05.12.23
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
1
0
L
09.07.22
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
3
0
L
24.04.22
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
0
W
01.12.21
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
0
0
D
25.04.21
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
0
4
W
21.12.20
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
2
1
W
15.07.20
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
25.08.19
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
1
1
D
30.03.19
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
2
0
W
16.09.18
H2H
Wolves
Burnley
1
0
L
19.03.16
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
2
2
D
10.01.26
FA
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
2
D
30.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
3
L
27.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
2
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
2
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
H2H at home: Burnley
24.05.26
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
02.04.24
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
0
W
21.12.20
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
2
1
W
15.07.20
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
30.03.19
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
2
0
W
19.03.16
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
Last matches: Wolves
29.07.26
Fri
Wolves
Doncaster
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Wolves
Maidenhead
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Leeds
0
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
Wolves
West Ham
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Brentford
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
15.02.26
FA
Wolves
Grimsby
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Manchester City
0
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Everton
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Manchester United
1
1
D
27.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Liverpool
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Arsenal
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Wolves
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pre
Wolves
Chelsea
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Wolves
Fulham
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Wolves
Sunderland
0
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Wolves
Tottenham
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pre
Wolves
Newcastle
0
1
L
H2H away: Wolves
24.05.26
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
02.04.24
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
0
L
21.12.20
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
2
1
L
15.07.20
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
30.03.19
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
2
0
L
19.03.16
H2H
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Missing Players

Burnley 2 missing
-
J. Beyer
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Cullen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Wolves 4 missing
-
L. Chiwome
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Gonzalez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Johnstone
Missing Fixture Knock
OUT
-
M. Doherty
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT