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ENGLAND › FA CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Burnley
FT
5 - 1
Millwall
Turf Moor
Referee: A. Backhouse
Burnley
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
A. Barnes · Assist: J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🟨
34'
Ryan Leonard
Millwall
⚽
35'
L. Tchaouna · Assist: H. Ekdal
Burnley
🟨
42'
Oliver Sonne
Burnley
⚽
44'
J. Anthony · Assist: J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🔄
61'
M. Langstaff ↔ J. Coburn
Millwall
🔄
61'
B. Mitchell ↔ J. Howland
Millwall
⚽
65'
A. Barnes
Burnley
🔄
66'
L. Ugochukwu ↔ Florentino
Burnley
🔄
66'
J. Laurent ↔ H. Mejbri
Burnley
🔄
66'
R. Leonard ↔ D. McNamara
Millwall
🔄
66'
T. Ballo ↔ R. Lamptey
Millwall
🔄
78'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ J. Banel
Burnley
🟨
80'
Loum Tchaouna
Burnley
🔄
83'
A. Doughty ↔ A. Matthews
Millwall
🟨
85'
Hannibal Mejbri
Burnley
⚽
89'
J. Banel
Burnley
⚽
90'
J. Coburn · Assist: R. Lamptey
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.14
Millwall1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
22 GF / 41 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
29 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
12
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
3
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 21 matches
Millwall Millwall 26 matches
Burnley Statistic Millwall
3 Wins 12
4 Draws 7
14 Losses 7
22 Goals For 29
41 Goals Against 33
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
12 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 7
3 Shots On Goal 4.15
8.9 Total Shots 12.54
3.67 Corners 5.31
41.2% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 7 times, Millwall won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Burnley's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burnley wins 7, draws 3, Millwall wins 2
Stats
Burnley Burnley
Millwall Millwall
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 1
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
700 Total passes 339
632 Passes accurate 261
2.21 expected_goals 0.96
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Burnley
Formation
Millwall
M. Weiss
M. Weiss
O. Sonne
O. Sonne
H. Ekdal
🎯
H. Ekdal
M. Esteve
M. Esteve
Q. Hartman
Q. Hartman
L. Ugochukwu
↓
L. Ugochukwu
J. Laurent
↓
J. Laurent
L. Tchaouna
⚽
L. Tchaouna
J. Bruun Larsen
🎯 ↓
J. Bruun Larsen
J. Anthony
⚽
J. Anthony
A. Barnes
⚽ 2
A. Barnes
S. Benda
S. Benda
R. Leonard
↓
R. Leonard
K. Grant
K. Grant
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
J. Bryan
J. Bryan
R. Bangura-Williams
R. Bangura-Williams
B. Mitchell
↓
B. Mitchell
A. Doughty
↓
A. Doughty
T. Ballo
↓
T. Ballo
A. Emakhu
A. Emakhu
M. Langstaff
↓
M. Langstaff
Burnley 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
M. Weiss
G
22
O. Sonne
🟨 42'
D
18
H. Ekdal
🎯 35'
D
5
M. Esteve
D
3
Q. Hartman
D
8
L. Ugochukwu
↓ 66'
M
29
J. Laurent
↓ 66'
M
17
L. Tchaouna
⚽ 35' 🟨 80'
M
7
J. Bruun Larsen
🎯 11' 🎯 44' ↓ 78'
M
11
J. Anthony
⚽ 44'
M
35
A. Barnes
⚽ 11' ⚽ 65'
F
Substitutes
32
V. Hladky
G
6
A. Tuanzebe
D
10
M. Edwards
F
12
B. Humphreys
D
16
Florentino
↑ 66'
M
23
Lucas Pires
D
27
A. Broja
F
28
H. Mejbri
↑ 66' 🟨 85'
M
34
J. Banel
⚽ 89' ↑ 78'
F
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
S. Benda
G
18
R. Leonard
↓ 66' 🟨 34'
D
27
K. Grant
D
5
J. Cooper
D
23
J. Bryan
D
31
R. Bangura-Williams
M
8
B. Mitchell
↓ 61'
M
14
A. Doughty
↓ 83'
M
7
T. Ballo
↓ 66'
M
22
A. Emakhu
M
17
M. Langstaff
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
43
J. Coleman
G
2
D. McNamara
↑ 66'
D
3
Z. Sturge
D
19
J. Coburn
⚽ 90' ↑ 61'
F
28
A. Matthews
↑ 83'
F
30
R. Lamptey
🎯 90' ↑ 66'
M
32
S. Kendall
F
45
W. Harding
D
47
J. Howland
↑ 61'
M
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
Last matches: Millwall
15.08.26
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
H2H: Burnley vs Millwall
10.01.26
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
3
1
W
03.11.24
H2H
Millwall
Burnley
1
0
L
21.02.23
H2H
Millwall
Burnley
1
1
D
30.08.22
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
2
0
W
23.09.20
H2H
Millwall
Burnley
0
2
W
08.02.14
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
3
1
W
02.11.13
H2H
Millwall
Burnley
2
2
D
19.01.13
H2H
Millwall
Burnley
0
2
W
29.09.12
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
2
2
D
25.02.12
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
1
3
L
01.10.11
H2H
Millwall
Burnley
0
1
W
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
2
2
D
07.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
2
D
30.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
3
L
27.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
2
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
2
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
H2H at home: Burnley
10.01.26
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
3
1
W
30.08.22
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
2
0
W
08.02.14
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
3
1
W
29.09.12
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
2
2
D
25.02.12
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
1
3
L
Last matches: Millwall
15.08.26
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
H2H away: Millwall
10.01.26
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
3
1
L
30.08.22
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
2
0
L
08.02.14
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
3
1
L
29.09.12
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
2
2
D
25.02.12
H2H
Burnley
Millwall
1
3
W