ENGLAND FA CUP
10.01.2026 15:00
Turf Moor
Referee: A. Backhouse
Burnley
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
A. Barnes · Assist: J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🟨
34'
Ryan Leonard
Millwall
35'
L. Tchaouna · Assist: H. Ekdal
Burnley
🟨
42'
Oliver Sonne
Burnley
44'
J. Anthony · Assist: J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🔄
61'
M. Langstaff ↔ J. Coburn
Millwall
🔄
61'
B. Mitchell ↔ J. Howland
Millwall
65'
A. Barnes
Burnley
🔄
66'
L. Ugochukwu ↔ Florentino
Burnley
🔄
66'
J. Laurent ↔ H. Mejbri
Burnley
🔄
66'
R. Leonard ↔ D. McNamara
Millwall
🔄
66'
T. Ballo ↔ R. Lamptey
Millwall
🔄
78'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ J. Banel
Burnley
🟨
80'
Loum Tchaouna
Burnley
🔄
83'
A. Doughty ↔ A. Matthews
Millwall
🟨
85'
Hannibal Mejbri
Burnley
89'
J. Banel
Burnley
90'
J. Coburn · Assist: R. Lamptey
Millwall

Burnley vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.14
Millwall1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
22 GF / 41 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
29 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
12
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
3
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 21 matches
Millwall Millwall 26 matches
Burnley Statistic Millwall
3 Wins 12
4 Draws 7
14 Losses 7
22 Goals For 29
41 Goals Against 33
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
12 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 7
3 Shots On Goal 4.15
8.9 Total Shots 12.54
3.67 Corners 5.31
41.2% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 7 times, Millwall won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Burnley's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burnley wins 7, draws 3, Millwall wins 2