Burnley
Match Timeline
Chelsea
Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.21
Chelsea2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley
WWDLW
14 GF / 22 GA
Chelsea
WLDWL
30 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
6
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
11
3.18
Shots on Goal
5.47
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burnley
11 matches
Chelsea
15 matches
| Burnley | Statistic | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 8 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 30 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.18 | Shots On Goal | 5.47 |
| 8.18 | Total Shots | 14.2 |
| 2.73 | Corners | 6.33 |
| 38.4% | Ball Possession | 58.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 1 times, Chelsea won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:37 from Burnley's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Burnley 4-3-3 / Chelsea 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burnley wins 1, draws 5, Chelsea wins 9
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Away
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Burnley
Home
|
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship