ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
05.09.2026 14:00
Turf Moor
Referee: Gavin Ward, England
Burnley
Match Timeline
Bristol City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
Hjalmar Ekdal
Burnley
🔄
46'
H. Ekdal ↔ A. Ahmedhodzic
Burnley
🔄
46'
A. Hountondji ↔ A. Broja
Burnley
56'
A. Ramsey · Assist: R. Hatate
Burnley
🔄
61'
J. Wallace ↔ Y. Hirakawa
Bristol City
🔄
62'
G. Yah ↔ D. Ballard
Bristol City
🔄
63'
R. Hatate ↔ Z. Amdouni
Burnley
🔄
70'
L. Ramazani ↔ J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🔄
72'
C. Pring ↔ G. Tanner
Bristol City
🔄
72'
S. Twine ↔ S. Greenwood
Bristol City
🔄
80'
L. Tolaj ↔ E. Adebayo
Bristol City
82'
R. Dickie · Assist: R. Cardines
Bristol City
🟨
83'
Kyle Walker
Burnley
🔄
85'
A. Ramsey ↔ H. Mejbri
Burnley
🟨
90+4'
Armando Broja
Burnley
90'
Y. Hirakawa
Bristol City

Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.9%
1.80
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.90
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.9%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 30.1%
Draw 29.9%
Bristol City Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.17
Bristol City1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
11 GF / 23 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
WLDWL
17 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.55
2.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 10 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 11 matches
Burnley Statistic Bristol City
0 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
11 Goals For 17
23 Goals Against 14
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
2.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 4
14 Total Shots 10.75
5 Corners 3.5
50.3% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 9 times, Bristol City won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:11 from Burnley's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.1%)
Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Burnley 7, Bristol City 3
H2H summary: Burnley wins 9, draws 1, Bristol City wins 1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One