Login Register
05.09.2026 14:00
Turf Moor
Referee: Gavin Ward, England
Burnley
Match Timeline
Bristol City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
Hjalmar Ekdal
Burnley
🔄
46'
H. Ekdal ↔ A. Ahmedhodzic
Burnley
🔄
46'
A. Hountondji ↔ A. Broja
Burnley
⚽
56'
A. Ramsey · Assist: R. Hatate
Burnley
🔄
61'
J. Wallace ↔ Y. Hirakawa
Bristol City
🔄
62'
G. Yah ↔ D. Ballard
Bristol City
🔄
63'
R. Hatate ↔ Z. Amdouni
Burnley
🔄
70'
L. Ramazani ↔ J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🔄
72'
C. Pring ↔ G. Tanner
Bristol City
🔄
72'
S. Twine ↔ S. Greenwood
Bristol City
🔄
80'
L. Tolaj ↔ E. Adebayo
Bristol City
⚽
82'
R. Dickie · Assist: R. Cardines
Bristol City
🟨
83'
Kyle Walker
Burnley
🔄
85'
A. Ramsey ↔ H. Mejbri
Burnley
🟨
90+4'
Armando Broja
Burnley
⚽
90'
Y. Hirakawa
Bristol City

Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 30.1%
Draw 29.9%
Bristol City Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.17
Bristol City1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
D L L D L
5 GF / 11 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
W W D L D
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.55
2.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 10 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 11 matches
Burnley Statistic Bristol City
0 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
11 Goals For 17
23 Goals Against 14
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
2.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 4
14 Total Shots 10.75
5 Corners 3.5
50.3% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 9 times, Bristol City won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:11 from Burnley's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.1%)
Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Burnley 7, Bristol City 3
H2H summary: Burnley wins 9, draws 1, Bristol City wins 1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 30:17 13 28
W W D W W
2 14 7 5 2 26:13 13 26
W W L W W
3 14 8 2 4 22:17 5 26
W W D W L
4 14 8 2 4 21:16 5 26
L W L L W
5 14 7 4 3 20:15 5 25
D W D W W
6 14 8 4 2 29:14 15 24
D W W D W
7 13 7 3 3 23:16 7 24
W W D W L
8 13 6 4 3 33:18 15 22
L L W W D
9 14 6 4 4 20:17 3 22
W W D W L
10 14 6 4 4 19:16 3 22
W D W D W
11 14 5 6 3 22:17 5 21
D L W L W
12 14 6 0 8 27:24 3 18
W W W L L
13 14 5 3 6 23:24 -1 18
L W L D L
14 14 5 3 6 20:22 -2 18
L L W L W
15 13 5 3 5 15:17 -2 18
W D L L D
16 14 5 2 7 19:26 -7 17
W L L D W
17 14 4 3 7 14:24 -10 15
L L W D L
18 13 3 5 5 19:20 -1 14
L W D W L
19 13 3 5 5 15:19 -4 14
L L W L D
20 14 4 2 8 13:23 -10 14
W L L W L
21 14 3 5 6 11:22 -11 14
L L L L D
22 14 1 7 6 18:26 -8 10
D D L L D
23 14 1 4 9 11:29 -18 7
L L D L L
24 14 1 2 11 12:30 -18 5
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One