Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Burgos
Almeria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burgos
42 matches
Almeria
40 matches
| Burgos | Statistic | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 22 |
| 11 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 11 |
| 50 | Goals For | 81 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.03 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.93 | Shots On Goal | 5.54 |
| 9.31 | Total Shots | 14.85 |
| 3.57 | Corners | 4.74 |
| 44.6% | Ball Possession | 51.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Almeria. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Almeria look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Burgos expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Almeria in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Almeria having the stronger overall control.
Burgos are currently 7 in the standings with 62 points from 38 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, while the 44:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (9 goals), F. Nino (7 goals), Curro (6 goals), with creative support from D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (5 assists), Curro (4 assists), Iván Morante (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Almeria approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 70 points after 38 outings. The return of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 78:58, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Arribas (24 goals), A. Embarba (14 goals), Leo Baptistao (9 goals), with creative support from A. Embarba (9 assists), S. Arribas (7 assists), A. Munoz (6 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Burgos won 2 times, Almeria won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Burgos's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.
Burgos
5
4
12
11
3
5
Lineups
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
FC Andorra
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
Granada CF
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
Deportivo La Coruna
Burgos
Castellón
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
Albacete
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
Valladolid
Burgos
Cordoba
Burgos
Eibar
Burgos
Mirandes
Burgos
Zaragoza
Burgos
Racing Santander
Burgos
Cadiz
Burgos
Las Palmas
Burgos
Leganes
Burgos
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Valladolid
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Las Palmas
Almeria
Mirandes
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Racing Santander
Almeria
Leganes
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
Almeria
Huesca
Almeria
Zaragoza
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa
Almeria
Albacete
Almeria
Cordoba
Almeria
FC Andorra
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
FC Andorra
Burgos
Deportivo La Coruna
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
Cordoba
Burgos
Mirandes
Burgos
Cadiz
Burgos
Leganes
Burgos
Huesca
Burgos
Valencia
Burgos
Eibar
Burgos
Zaragoza
Burgos
Getafe
Burgos
Albacete
Burgos
Racing Santander
Burgos
Castellón
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
Valladolid
Burgos
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Racing Santander
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Huesca
Almeria
Zaragoza
Almeria
Albacete
Almeria
Cadiz
Almeria
Eibar
Almeria
Mirandes
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
FC Andorra
Almeria
Eldense
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
Leganes
Almeria
Lorca Deportiva
Almeria
Cordoba
Almeria
Deportivo La Coruna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Almeria
Away
|
42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Burgos
Home
|
42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|