BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Bumprom
Match Timeline
Smorgon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
M. Samotoy
Bumprom
🟨
27'
D. Kaplunov
Bumprom
🟨
33'
I. Bogdanovich
Smorgon
🟨
44'
M. Dukso
Smorgon
49'
E. Mychelkin · Assist: M. Dukso
Smorgon
🟨
55'
V. Fastovets
Bumprom
🔄
58'
V. Fastovets ↔ I. Grudko
Bumprom
🔄
58'
J. Nsangou ↔ A. Devyaten
Smorgon
🔄
69'
A. Zhevnerenko ↔ A. Kabyshev
Bumprom
70'
K. Sidorenko · Assist: K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🔄
73'
D. Kovalev ↔ P. Gorbach
Smorgon
🔄
73'
M. Dukso ↔ A. Starovoytov
Smorgon
76'
I. Grudko · Assist: K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🔄
83'
V. Kabyshev ↔ I. Zhestkin
Bumprom
85'
K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🔄
86'
V. Kovalevich ↔ I. Sivkov
Smorgon
🔄
86'
↔ V. Galko
Smorgon
🟨
90+3'
I. Zhestkin
Bumprom

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.1%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bumprom Win 45.8%
Draw 19.9%
Smorgon Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bumprom1.84
Smorgon1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bumprom Bumprom
WWDLW
30 GF / 21 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
9
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bumprom Bumprom 15 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 15 matches
Bumprom Statistic Smorgon
7 Wins 4
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 6
30 Goals For 19
21 Goals Against 24
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
9 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bumprom's more proactive style and Smorgon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Smorgon. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control. Bumprom arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 17 points compared to Smorgon in 17 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bumprom Analysis

Bumprom arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 17 points after 10 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:12 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by V. Potorocha (6 goals), K. Sidorenko (5 goals), I. Grudko (4 goals), with creative support from V. Potorocha (5 assists), K. Sidorenko (3 assists), V. Kabyshev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Smorgon Analysis

With 7 points from 10 games and a place of 17, Smorgon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:18, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through A. Devyaten (3 goals), A. Fazylov (2 goals), V. Kovalevich (2 goals), with creative support from M. Dukso (3 assists), A. Devyaten (1 assists), V. Kovalevich (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Bumprom won 1 times, Smorgon won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Bumprom's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
H2H summary: Bumprom wins 1, draws 0, Smorgon wins 0

Lineups

Smorgon
Formation
Bumprom
M. Azarko
M. Azarko
V. Kovalevich
V. Kovalevich
I. Bogdanovich
I. Bogdanovich
E. Mychelkin
E. Mychelkin
A. Fazylov
A. Fazylov
A. Tishko
A. Tishko
D. Kovalev
D. Kovalev
M. Dukso
🎯
M. Dukso
J. Nsangou
J. Nsangou
K. Elagin
K. Elagin
M. Autko
M. Autko
E. Isachenko
E. Isachenko
G. Kutkovich
G. Kutkovich
D. Kaplunov
D. Kaplunov
K. Parmonov
K. Parmonov
K. Sidorenko
⚽ 2 🎯
K. Sidorenko
V. Fastovets
V. Fastovets
G. Vershinin
G. Vershinin
M. Samotoy
M. Samotoy
I. Udodov
I. Udodov
A. Zhevnerenko
A. Zhevnerenko
V. Kabyshev
V. Kabyshev
Smorgon 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Azarko
78
V. Kovalevich
↓ 86'
77
I. Bogdanovich
🟨 33'
52
E. Mychelkin
⚽ 49'
33
A. Fazylov
27
A. Tishko
25
D. Kovalev
↓ 73'
17
M. Dukso
🎯 49' ↓ 73' 🟨 44'
7
J. Nsangou
↓ 58'
5
K. Elagin
3
M. Autko
Substitutes
19
A. Velesyuk
10
P. Gorbach
↑ 73'
11
I. Sivkov
↑ 86'
22
V. Galko
↑ 86'
59
A. Devyaten
↑ 58'
99
A. Starovoytov
↑ 73'
Bumprom 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
93
E. Isachenko
2
G. Kutkovich
5
D. Kaplunov
🟨 27'
7
K. Parmonov
9
K. Sidorenko
⚽ 70' ⚽ 85' 🎯 70' 🎯 76'
17
V. Fastovets
↓ 58' 🟨 55'
19
G. Vershinin
29
M. Samotoy
🟨 26'
30
I. Udodov
59
A. Zhevnerenko
↓ 69'
79
V. Kabyshev
↓ 83'
Substitutes
44
D. Sadovskiy
8
I. Zhestkin
↑ 83' 🟨 90+3'
11
D. Krivosheev
20
I. Grudko
⚽ 76' ↑ 58'
21
N. Ovsyanik
47
A. Kabyshev
↑ 69'
66
S. Absamadov
Last matches: Bumprom
12.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Gomel II
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Orsha
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Osipovichy
5
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
03.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
18.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Slonim
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
Belshina
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Bumprom
Slavia Mozyr
1
2
L
Last matches: Smorgon
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H: Bumprom vs Smorgon
20.06.26
H2H
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
W
Last matches: Bumprom
04.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Orsha
1
3
L
13.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
31.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Osipovichy
5
1
W
17.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
L
03.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Slonim
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
Belshina
3
1
W
H2H at home: Bumprom
20.06.26
H2H
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
W
Last matches: Smorgon
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H away: Smorgon
20.06.26
H2H
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
7 14 7 2 5 23:21 2 23
W W W W W
8 14 7 2 5 29:20 9 23
L L W W D
9 14 6 4 4 29:18 11 22
L L W L W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 14 4 4 6 22:20 2 16
W W L L D
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation