BELARUS 1. DIVISION
04.07.2026 13:30
SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Bumprom
Match Timeline
Orsha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
V. Shalychev
Orsha
26'
I. Zhestkin · Assist: D. Kaplunov
Bumprom
🔄
43'
Y. Kulesh ↔ N. Volchenko
Orsha
🔄
53'
V. Fastovets ↔ K. Parmonov
Bumprom
56'
M. Pashkevich · Assist: G. Zheleznikov
Orsha
🔄
57'
A. Zhevnerenko ↔ K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🔄
68'
G. Vershinin ↔ S. Absamadov
Bumprom
🔄
68'
D. Kaplunov ↔ V. Kabyshev
Bumprom
71'
G. Zheleznikov · Assist: M. Pashkevich
Orsha
🟨
74'
I. Zhestkin
Bumprom
🔄
84'
G. Zheleznikov ↔ D. Tikhomirov
Orsha
🔄
90+3'
M. Pashkevich ↔ Y. Komarov
Orsha

Bumprom vs Orsha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bumprom Win 58.9%
Draw 12.8%
Orsha Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bumprom1.96
Orsha1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bumprom Bumprom
WWDLW
33 GF / 24 GA
Orsha Orsha
WLDWL
11 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
2
11
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bumprom Bumprom 17 matches
Orsha Orsha 14 matches
Bumprom Statistic Orsha
8 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 9
33 Goals For 11
24 Goals Against 28
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 2
11 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bumprom's more proactive style and Orsha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orsha. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsha having the stronger overall control. Bumprom come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Bumprom arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 23 points compared to Orsha in 12 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Bumprom Analysis

Bumprom approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 23 points after 12 outings. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Orsha Analysis

Orsha sit 12 with 11 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 11:19 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Bumprom won 2 times, Orsha won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Bumprom's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
H2H summary: Bumprom wins 2, draws 2, Orsha wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 3 5 63:30 33 51
W W W L W
2 24 14 6 4 45:24 21 48
W D W D D
3 24 15 3 6 47:38 9 48
W W W W L
4 24 13 5 6 45:29 16 44
L W W L W
5 24 13 3 8 41:34 7 42
D W W W W
6 24 12 4 8 45:30 15 40
D W L W L
7 24 10 4 10 43:37 6 34
L L L W W
8 24 10 4 10 39:41 -2 34
L W L L L
9 24 9 6 9 46:43 3 33
W D L L L
10 24 8 9 7 33:34 -1 33
W W W W L
11 24 9 5 10 41:37 4 32
D L W W L
12 24 9 2 13 35:45 -10 29
L L L D W
13 24 7 6 11 29:34 -5 27
W D L L W
14
Orsha Away
24 7 5 12 27:43 -16 26
D L W L L
15 24 6 7 11 24:33 -9 25
L D L W D
16 24 5 6 13 33:47 -14 21
L L D L L
17 24 5 6 13 34:55 -21 21
W L D W W
18 24 5 2 17 25:61 -36 17
L L L W D