BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Bumprom
Match Timeline
Niva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
D. Galuza
Niva
🟨
7'
I. Udodov
Bumprom
🟨
31'
V. Potorocha
Bumprom
🟨
32'
A. Tkhagalegov
Niva
🔄
46'
I. Udodov ↔ S. Absamadov
Bumprom
🔄
46'
D. Galuza ↔ P. Pampukha
Niva
🔄
72'
I. Zhestkin ↔ V. Kabyshev
Bumprom
🟨
74'
G. Kutkovich
Bumprom
🔄
78'
K. Sidorenko ↔ I. Grudko
Bumprom
🔄
78'
I. Monich ↔ V. Dybin
Niva
🔄
81'
K. Parmonov ↔ D. Krivosheev
Bumprom
82'
P. Pampukha · Assist: V. Bondarenko
Niva
🔄
84'
A. Kuratnik ↔ M. Druchik
Niva
🟨
89'
S. Absamadov
Bumprom
🟨
90+3'
N. Leshkevich
Niva

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bumprom Win 51.8%
Draw 18.9%
Niva Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bumprom1.89
Niva1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bumprom Bumprom
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Niva Niva
WLDWL
15 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bumprom Bumprom 10 matches
Niva Niva 9 matches
Bumprom Statistic Niva
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
16 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 21
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
6 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Bumprom's more proactive style and Niva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Niva. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Niva having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Bumprom Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Bumprom have collected 10 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by V. Potorocha (4 goals), K. Sidorenko (3 goals), I. Udodov (2 goals), with creative support from V. Potorocha (4 assists), K. Sidorenko (2 assists), G. Vershinin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Niva Analysis

Niva sit 11 with 7 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Fedortsov (5 goals), I. Monich (2 goals), P. Pampukha (2 goals), with creative support from D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Galuza (2 assists), I. Monich (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Bumprom won 3 times, Niva won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:9 from Bumprom's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
H2H summary: Bumprom wins 3, draws 3, Niva wins 1

Lineups

Bumprom
Formation
Niva
E. Isachenko
E. Isachenko
G. Kutkovich
G. Kutkovich
D. Kaplunov
D. Kaplunov
K. Parmonov
K. Parmonov
I. Zhestkin
I. Zhestkin
K. Sidorenko
K. Sidorenko
V. Potorocha
V. Potorocha
G. Vershinin
G. Vershinin
M. Samotoy
M. Samotoy
I. Udodov
I. Udodov
A. Zhevnerenko
A. Zhevnerenko
N. Dovnar
N. Dovnar
D. Galuza
D. Galuza
D. Sibilev
D. Sibilev
A. Kuratnik
A. Kuratnik
I. Monich
I. Monich
V. Shcherbo
V. Shcherbo
N. Leshkevich
N. Leshkevich
D. Fedortsov
D. Fedortsov
A. Tkhagalegov
A. Tkhagalegov
R. Kozel
R. Kozel
V. Bondarenko
🎯
V. Bondarenko
Bumprom 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
93
E. Isachenko
2
G. Kutkovich
🟨 74'
5
D. Kaplunov
7
K. Parmonov
↓ 81'
8
I. Zhestkin
↓ 72'
9
K. Sidorenko
↓ 78'
10
V. Potorocha
🟨 31'
19
G. Vershinin
29
M. Samotoy
30
I. Udodov
↓ 46' 🟨 7'
59
A. Zhevnerenko
Substitutes
44
D. Sadovskiy
4
S. Kruzhilin
11
D. Krivosheev
↑ 81'
17
V. Fastovets
20
I. Grudko
↑ 78'
21
N. Ovsyanik
47
A. Kabyshev
66
S. Absamadov
↑ 46' 🟨 89'
79
V. Kabyshev
↑ 72'
95
M. Tychko
Niva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Dovnar
7
D. Galuza
↓ 46' 🟨 6'
8
D. Sibilev
9
A. Kuratnik
↓ 84'
15
I. Monich
↓ 78'
18
V. Shcherbo
21
N. Leshkevich
🟨 90+3'
23
D. Fedortsov
41
A. Tkhagalegov
🟨 32'
88
R. Kozel
99
V. Bondarenko
🎯 82'
Substitutes
35
D. Kashtelyan
3
M. Druchik
↑ 84'
10
V. Dybin
↑ 78'
13
A. Sysoev
20
A. Martysevich
29
P. Pampukha
⚽ 82' ↑ 46'
47
V. Skomarovskiy
69
E. Mashagin
91
A. Voronovich
Last matches: Bumprom
12.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Gomel II
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Orsha
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
20.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Osipovichy
5
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
03.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
18.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Slonim
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
Belshina
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Bumprom
Slavia Mozyr
1
2
L
Last matches: Niva
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H: Bumprom vs Niva
17.05.26
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
L
23.11.25
H2H
Niva
Bumprom
2
2
D
26.07.25
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
4
1
W
08.09.24
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Niva
Bumprom
3
3
D
12.08.23
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
3
2
W
01.04.23
H2H
Niva
Bumprom
0
4
W
Last matches: Bumprom
04.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Orsha
1
3
L
20.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
31.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Osipovichy
5
1
W
03.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Slonim
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
Belshina
3
1
W
H2H at home: Bumprom
17.05.26
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
4
1
W
08.09.24
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
0
0
D
12.08.23
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
3
2
W
Last matches: Niva
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H away: Niva
17.05.26
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
4
1
L
08.09.24
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
0
0
D
12.08.23
H2H
Bumprom
Niva
3
2
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5
Niva Away
15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
7 14 7 2 5 23:21 2 23
W W W W W
8 14 7 2 5 29:20 9 23
L L W W D
9 14 6 4 4 29:18 11 22
L L W L W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 14 4 4 6 22:20 2 16
W W L L D
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation