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BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
04.10.2026 12:00
SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Bumprom
Match Timeline
Minsk II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
M. Kazimir · Assist: K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🔄
46'
S. Absamadov ↔ M. Samotoy
Bumprom
⚽
49'
K. Sidorenko · Assist: M. Kazimir
Bumprom
🔄
58'
D. Morozov ↔ I. Bondarenko
Minsk II
🟨
59'
A. Zhevnerenko
Bumprom
🔄
66'
A. Zhevnerenko ↔ V. Dubrovskiy
Bumprom
🔄
66'
M. Tychko ↔ D. Latykhov
Bumprom
⚽
67'
S. Matusevich · Assist: I. Bondarenko
Minsk II
🔄
68'
A. Kazakov ↔ G. Bulatskiy
Minsk II
🔄
68'
I. Volchok ↔ V. Ganchuk
Minsk II
🔄
74'
K. Sidorenko ↔ I. Zhestkin
Bumprom
⚽
79'
Bumprom
Bumprom
🔄
87'
A. Miroevskiy ↔ V. Drapeza
Bumprom
🔄
87'
P. Sheremet ↔ I. Porshnev
Minsk II
🟨
90+3'
M. Kazimir
Bumprom

Bumprom vs Minsk II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bumprom Win 47%
Draw 4.6%
Minsk II Win 48.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bumprom1.84
Minsk II1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bumprom Bumprom
WWDLW
55 GF / 47 GA
Minsk II Minsk II
WLDWL
36 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
22
BTTS Yes
15
21
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bumprom Bumprom 30 matches
Minsk II Minsk II 26 matches
Bumprom Statistic Minsk II
12 Wins 9
5 Draws 3
13 Losses 14
55 Goals For 36
47 Goals Against 48
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
22 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 22
21 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Bumprom's more proactive style and Minsk II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Minsk II having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Minsk II. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bumprom Analysis

Bumprom sit 7 with 37 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 47:37, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Minsk II Analysis

Minsk II sit 13 with 30 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats with a 36:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Bumprom won 0 times, Minsk II won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Bumprom's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Bumprom wins 0, draws 2, Minsk II wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 19 6 4 58:28 30 63
W W W W W
2 29 19 4 6 76:35 41 61
W W D W L
3 28 18 3 7 52:43 9 57
W W W L W
4 28 17 5 6 61:32 29 56
W W W W L
5 28 15 5 8 51:33 18 50
W D W W D
6 28 14 3 11 48:49 -1 45
L L L W D
7 29 12 8 9 56:46 10 44
W D W W W
8 29 12 5 12 53:45 8 41
L L W D W
9 29 11 6 12 36:36 0 39
W W W L W
10 29 8 12 9 39:42 -3 36
L D D L W
11 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
12 28 10 5 13 41:51 -10 35
D L L L L
13 28 9 3 16 37:52 -15 30
L L L D L
14 29 7 6 16 30:55 -25 27
L L D L L
15 27 6 8 13 25:36 -11 26
L D L L D
16 29 6 5 18 33:70 -37 23
W D L D D
17 28 5 7 16 36:62 -26 22
L D L L W
18 28 5 6 17 38:60 -22 21
L L L L L