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29.09.2026 18:45
Hristo Botev Stadium
Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili, Georgia
Bulgaria
Match Timeline
Estonia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Dimitar Velkovski
Bulgaria
🟨
37'
Borislav Tsonev
Bulgaria
🔄
46'
Kristiyan Stoyanov ↔ Petko Panayotov
Bulgaria
🔄
46'
Zdravko Dimitrov ↔ Kristiyan Balov
Bulgaria
🔄
46'
Borislav Tsonev ↔ Asen Chandarov
Bulgaria
🔄
46'
Karel Mustmaa ↔ Mattias Männilaan
Estonia
🟨
48'
Maksim Paskotsi
Estonia
🔄
58'
Markus Soomets ↔ Kevor Palumets
Estonia
🔄
58'
Mattias Käit ↔ Martin Miller
Estonia
🔄
70'
Marin Petkov ↔ Stanislav Ivanov
Bulgaria
🔄
73'
Ivan Turitsov ↔ Yoni Stoyanov
Bulgaria
🔄
74'
Robi Saarma ↔ Frank Liivak
Estonia
🟨
89'
Kristian Dimitrov
Bulgaria
🟨
89'
Patrik Kristal
Estonia

Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
48.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bulgaria Win 26.1%
Draw 48.9%
Estonia Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bulgaria1
Estonia1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bulgaria Bulgaria
WWDLW
3 GF / 5 GA
Estonia Estonia
WLDWL
1 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
0
2.33
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bulgaria Bulgaria 3 matches
Estonia Estonia 1 matches
Bulgaria Statistic Estonia
0 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
3 Goals For 1
5 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
2.33 Shots On Goal 5
3.33 Total Shots 8
1.67 Corners 3
16.7% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75%)
Predicted formations: Bulgaria 4-2-3-1 / Estonia 5-3-2

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:1 6 8
D W W D
2 4 1 3 0 2:1 1 6
D W D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L D L
4 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
L L L W
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs