BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Brusque
Match Timeline
Ypiranga-RS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Joao Pedro
Brusque
🔄
46'
Rian ↔ Dudu
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
46'
Leo Rafael ↔ Bryam
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
50'
Macario
Brusque
🟨
56'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
59'
Adrianinho
Brusque
🟨
60'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
63'
Macario ↔ Alvaro
Brusque
🔄
63'
Renan Gorne ↔ Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
70'
Alvaro
Brusque
🔄
72'
Estevao ↔ Lucas Fogaca
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
74'
Bernardo ↔ Joao Prado
Brusque
🔄
74'
Petterson Novaes ↔ Leonardo
Brusque
🔄
83'
Joao Pedro ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
83'
Jeferson ↔ Pedro Medeiros
Brusque
🔄
87'
Danielzinho ↔ Marcelinho
Ypiranga-RS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brusque Win 42.2%
Draw 20.1%
Ypiranga-RS Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brusque1.35
Ypiranga-RS1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brusque Brusque
WWDLW
9 GF / 6 GA
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WLDWL
11 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
5
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brusque Brusque 5 matches
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 6 matches
Brusque Statistic Ypiranga-RS
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
9 Goals For 11
6 Goals Against 4
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ypiranga-RS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ypiranga-RS. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Brusque Analysis

Brusque come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 11 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Adrianinho (4 goals), Alvaro (1 goals), Cipriano (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

Ypiranga-RS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 10 points after 5 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Danielzinho (2 goals), Leo Rafael (2 goals), Bryam (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Brusque won 3 times, Ypiranga-RS won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Brusque's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
H2H summary: Brusque wins 3, draws 1, Ypiranga-RS wins 1

Lineups

Brusque
Formation
Ypiranga-RS
Matheus Nogueira
Matheus Nogueira
Jeferson
Jeferson
Ryan Santos
Ryan Santos
Rafael Milhorim
Rafael Milhorim
Raimar
Raimar
Bernardo
Bernardo
Gazao
Gazao
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Macario
Macario
Adrianinho
Adrianinho
Petterson Novaes
Petterson Novaes
Gabriel Werner
Gabriel Werner
Rian
Rian
Leo Gobo
Leo Gobo
Walce
Walce
Willian Gomes
Willian Gomes
Ramon Vinicius
Ramon Vinicius
Dionisio
Dionisio
Estevao
Estevao
Leo Rafael
Leo Rafael
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Renan Gorne
Renan Gorne
Brusque 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Matheus Nogueira
2
Jeferson
↓ 83'
3
Ryan Santos
4
Rafael Milhorim
6
Raimar
5
Bernardo
↓ 74'
7
Gazao
10
Joao Pedro
⚽ 3' ↓ 83'
19
Macario
↓ 63' 🟨 50'
17
Adrianinho
⚽ 59'
11
Petterson Novaes
↓ 74'
Substitutes
12
Jose Vinicius
13
Leonardo Ataide
9
Alvaro
⚽ 70' ↑ 63'
M. Salas
8
Jonatan Lucca
Alex Paulino
16
Davi Gabriel
18
Clinton
↑ 83'
20
Joao Prado
↑ 74'
21
Leonardo
↑ 74'
Pedro Medeiros
↑ 83'
15
Guga
Ypiranga-RS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
Gabriel Werner
8
Rian
↓ 46'
21
Leo Gobo
22
Walce
3
Willian Gomes
43
Ramon Vinicius
27
Dionisio
10
Estevao
↓ 72'
79
Leo Rafael
↓ 46'
23
Danielzinho
↓ 87'
9
Renan Gorne
↓ 63'
Substitutes
35
Ze Carlos
33
Eduardo Grechi
4
Reinaldo
16
Lucas Ramos
20
Dudu
↑ 46'
15
Mago
7
Felipe Ferreira
28
Lucas Fogaca
↑ 72'
80
Marcelinho
↑ 87'
11
Vini Charopem
↑ 63'
17
Bryam
↑ 46'
Last matches: Brusque
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Maringá
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
Last matches: Ypiranga-RS
15.06.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Maringá
1
4
L
05.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Ituano
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Caxias
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Anápolis
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
AO Itabaiana
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Figueirense
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Ypiranga-RS
São Luiz
2
0
W
H2H: Brusque vs Ypiranga-RS
10.05.26
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
1
0
W
05.08.23
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Brusque
2
0
L
11.10.20
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Brusque
1
1
D
08.08.20
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
Last matches: Brusque
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
H2H at home: Brusque
10.05.26
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
1
0
W
08.08.20
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
Last matches: Ypiranga-RS
31.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Caxias
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
AO Itabaiana
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ypiranga-RS
São Luiz
2
0
W
H2H away: Ypiranga-RS
10.05.26
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
1
0
L
08.08.20
H2H
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
2 10 5 3 2 15:10 5 18
L D W L W
3 10 5 3 2 13:10 3 18
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 17:13 4 17
L L W L W
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L W W W
6 10 5 1 4 12:12 0 16
W L L L L
7 10 4 4 2 10:9 1 16
W D W W D
8 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D W D
9 10 4 3 3 9:7 2 15
W D D W W
10 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W L W D
11 10 4 2 4 19:21 -2 14
D L D W L
12 10 4 2 4 7:9 -2 14
W W W L D
13 10 4 2 4 10:14 -4 14
W W D L W
14 10 3 4 3 9:11 -2 13
D D D L W
15 10 3 2 5 13:16 -3 11
D L L L L
16 10 2 5 3 12:10 2 11
L D L D D
17 10 3 1 6 11:15 -4 10
D W L L L
18 10 2 1 7 4:9 -5 7
L L D W L
19 10 1 4 5 8:15 -7 7
D L D W D
20 10 1 2 7 6:14 -8 5
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation