BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: D. Freitas da Silva
Brusque
Match Timeline
Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Bernardo
Brusque
🔄
46'
Fabinho ↔ Andrey
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Ronald ↔ Marcos Andre
Santa Cruz
🟨
60'
Andrey
Santa Cruz
🔄
63'
Everaldo ↔ Patrick Allan
Santa Cruz
🟨
67'
Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🟨
68'
Eron
Santa Cruz
🔄
68'
Adrianinho ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
68'
Eron ↔ Tiago Marques
Santa Cruz
🟨
72'
Alex Ruan
Santa Cruz
🔄
73'
Macario ↔ Alvaro
Brusque
🔄
73'
Petterson Novaes ↔ Joao Prado
Brusque
🔄
76'
Alex Ruan ↔ Ze Mario
Santa Cruz
🔄
82'
Joao Pedro ↔ Jonatan Lucca
Brusque
🔄
82'
Bernardo ↔ Guga
Brusque
🟨
90+6'
William Alves
Santa Cruz
🟨
90+7'
Tiago Marques
Santa Cruz
90'
Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brusque Win 71.8%
Draw 4.4%
Santa Cruz Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brusque1.32
Santa Cruz0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brusque Brusque
WWDLW
15 GF / 9 GA
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WLDWL
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brusque Brusque 9 matches
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 10 matches
Brusque Statistic Santa Cruz
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
15 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 8
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Santa Cruz. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Brusque arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 17 points compared to Santa Cruz in 11 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Brusque Analysis

Brusque come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 17 points after 8 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Adrianinho (5 goals), Alvaro (2 goals), Cipriano (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Santa Cruz Analysis

Santa Cruz are currently 11 in the standings with 12 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcos Andre (2 goals), Pedro Favela (2 goals), Ronald (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Brusque won 0 times, Santa Cruz won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Brusque's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Brusque wins 0, draws 1, Santa Cruz wins 2

Lineups

Brusque
Formation
Santa Cruz
Matheus Nogueira
Matheus Nogueira
Pedro Medeiros
Pedro Medeiros
Ryan Santos
Ryan Santos
Cipriano
Cipriano
Raimar
Raimar
Bernardo
Bernardo
Gazao
Gazao
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Macario
Macario
Adrianinho
Adrianinho
Petterson Novaes
Petterson Novaes
Gabriel Souza
Gabriel Souza
Eurico
Eurico
William Alves
William Alves
Pedro Favela
Pedro Favela
Alex Ruan
Alex Ruan
Fabinho
Fabinho
Ronald
Ronald
Vitinho
Vitinho
Edson Miranda
Edson Miranda
Eron
Eron
Everaldo
Everaldo
Brusque 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Matheus Nogueira
2
Pedro Medeiros
3
Ryan Santos
4
Cipriano
6
Raimar
5
Bernardo
↓ 82' 🟨 35'
7
Gazao
10
Joao Pedro
↓ 82'
19
Macario
↓ 73'
17
Adrianinho
↓ 68'
11
Petterson Novaes
↓ 73'
Substitutes
12
Paulo Gianezini
8
Jonatan Lucca
↑ 82'
9
Alvaro
↑ 73'
13
Leonardo Ataide
14
Rafael Milhorim
15
M. Salas
16
Davi Gabriel
18
Clinton
↑ 68'
20
Joao Prado
↑ 73'
21
Leonardo
22
Rafa Fonseca
24
Guga
↑ 82'
Santa Cruz 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
Gabriel Souza
3
Eurico
4
William Alves
🟨 90+6'
5
Pedro Favela
6
Alex Ruan
↓ 76' 🟨 72'
7
Fabinho
↓ 46'
17
Ronald
↓ 46'
18
Vitinho
27
Edson Miranda
⚽ 90' 🟨 67'
28
Eron
↓ 68' 🟨 68'
37
Everaldo
↓ 63'
Substitutes
12
Rokenedy
9
Quirino
13
Matheus Vinicius
16
Andrey
↑ 46' 🟨 60'
19
Renato
20
Patrick Allan
↑ 63'
23
Tiago Marques
↑ 68' 🟨 90+7'
26
Silva
29
Marcos Andre
↑ 46'
30
Jefferson Bahia
31
Ze Mario
↑ 76'
Last matches: Brusque
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Maringá
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
Last matches: Santa Cruz
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Confiança
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
1
0
W
07.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
0
0
D
18.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
2
1
W
03.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
1
2
L
H2H: Brusque vs Santa Cruz
14.06.26
H2H
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
17.01.21
H2H
Santa Cruz
Brusque
3
1
L
13.12.20
H2H
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
Last matches: Brusque
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
H2H at home: Brusque
14.06.26
H2H
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
13.12.20
H2H
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
Last matches: Santa Cruz
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Confiança
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
1
0
W
07.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Horizonte
0
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
0
0
D
08.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviario
1
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sousa
1
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Central SC
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz RN
0
0
D
20.04.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Treze
1
0
W
H2H away: Santa Cruz
14.06.26
H2H
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
W
13.12.20
H2H
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
0
D

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
2 10 5 3 2 15:10 5 18
L D W L W
3 10 5 3 2 13:10 3 18
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 17:13 4 17
L L W L W
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L W W W
6 10 5 1 4 12:12 0 16
W L L L L
7 10 4 4 2 10:9 1 16
W D W W D
8 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D W D
9 10 4 3 3 9:7 2 15
W D D W W
10 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W L W D
11 10 4 2 4 19:21 -2 14
D L D W L
12 10 4 2 4 7:9 -2 14
W W W L D
13 10 4 2 4 10:14 -4 14
W W D L W
14 10 3 4 3 9:11 -2 13
D D D L W
15 10 3 2 5 13:16 -3 11
D L L L L
16 10 2 5 3 12:10 2 11
L D L D D
17 10 3 1 6 11:15 -4 10
D W L L L
18 10 2 1 7 4:9 -5 7
L L D W L
19 10 1 4 5 8:15 -7 7
D L D W D
20 10 1 2 7 6:14 -8 5
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation