BRAZIL SERIE C
26.07.2026 19:00
Referee: A. Moraes
Brusque
Match Timeline
Ituano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Jeferson
Brusque
18'
Joao Pedro
Brusque
🟨
33'
Lucas Mota
Ituano
🔄
39'
Jeferson ↔ Pedro Medeiros
Brusque
🟨
55'
Cipriano
Brusque
🔄
68'
Lucas Mota ↔ Felipe Muranga
Ituano
🔄
76'
Joao Pedro ↔ Ariel
Brusque
🔄
76'
Petterson Novaes ↔ Renan
Brusque
🔄
76'
Guilherme Xavier ↔ Gabriel Razera
Ituano
🟨
82'
Leo Passos
Ituano
🟨
83'
Gabriel William
Ituano
🔄
86'
Gabriel William ↔ Victor Reis
Ituano
🔄
86'
Leo Passos ↔ Lipe Gadol
Ituano
🟨
87'
Pedro Medeiros
Brusque
🔄
89'
Raimar ↔ Davi Gabriel
Brusque
🔄
89'
Bernardo ↔ Jonatan Lucca
Brusque

Brusque vs Ituano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.4%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brusque Win 73.4%
Draw 4.6%
Ituano Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brusque1.31
Ituano1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brusque Brusque
WWDLW
20 GF / 15 GA
Ituano Ituano
WLDWL
16 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brusque Brusque 14 matches
Ituano Ituano 14 matches
Brusque Statistic Ituano
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
20 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 16
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
8 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Brusque's more proactive style and Ituano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituano having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Brusque have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Brusque arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 24 points compared to Ituano in 11 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ituano.

Brusque Analysis

Brusque sit 2 with 24 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 20:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Ituano Analysis

Ituano are currently 11 in the standings with 19 points from 14 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 16:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Brusque won 5 times, Ituano won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Brusque's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
H2H summary: Brusque wins 5, draws 3, Ituano wins 4

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation