BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. Gomes
Brusque
Match Timeline
Floresta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Gazao
Brusque
🟨
19'
Petterson Novaes
Brusque
22'
Joao Victor
Floresta
🔄
39'
Jeam ↔ Joao Celeri
Floresta
🟨
42'
Afonso
Floresta
🔄
59'
Petterson Novaes ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
69'
Macario ↔ Alvaro
Brusque
🔄
69'
Adrianinho ↔ Joao Prado
Brusque
🔄
77'
Gazao ↔ Jonatan Lucca
Brusque
🔄
77'
Pedro Medeiros ↔ Leonardo Ataide
Brusque
🔄
77'
Matheus Martins ↔ Matheusinho
Floresta
80'
Joao Pedro
Brusque
🔄
85'
Caique ↔ Diego Matos
Floresta
🔄
85'
Buga ↔ Rafinha
Floresta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brusque Win 62.9%
Draw 4.2%
Floresta Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brusque1.34
Floresta1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brusque Brusque
WWDLW
15 GF / 10 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
6
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brusque Brusque 10 matches
Floresta Floresta 10 matches
Brusque Statistic Floresta
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
15 Goals For 12
10 Goals Against 11
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Floresta. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control.

Brusque Analysis

Placed 2 with 18 points from 9 outings, Brusque continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 15:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Adrianinho (5 goals), Alvaro (2 goals), Cipriano (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta sit 6 with 15 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel (3 goals), Garraty (2 goals), Jeam (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Brusque won 2 times, Floresta won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Brusque's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Brusque wins 2, draws 0, Floresta wins 1

Lineups

Brusque
Formation
Floresta
Matheus Nogueira
Matheus Nogueira
Pedro Medeiros
Pedro Medeiros
Ryan Santos
Ryan Santos
Cipriano
Cipriano
Raimar
Raimar
Bernardo
Bernardo
Gazao
Gazao
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Macario
Macario
Adrianinho
Adrianinho
Petterson Novaes
Petterson Novaes
Dheimison
Dheimison
Afonso
Afonso
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
Jeam
Jeam
Garraty
Garraty
Valdo
Valdo
Eliandro
Eliandro
Nonato
Nonato
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
Caique
Caique
Buga
Buga
Brusque 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Matheus Nogueira
2
Pedro Medeiros
↓ 77'
3
Ryan Santos
4
Cipriano
6
Raimar
5
Bernardo
7
Gazao
⚽ 11' ↓ 77'
10
Joao Pedro
⚽ 80'
19
Macario
↓ 69'
17
Adrianinho
↓ 69'
11
Petterson Novaes
↓ 59' 🟨 19'
Substitutes
12
Paulo Gianezini
8
Jonatan Lucca
↑ 77'
9
Alvaro
↑ 69'
13
Leonardo Ataide
↑ 77'
14
Rafael Milhorim
15
Alex Paulino
16
Davi Gabriel
18
Clinton
↑ 59'
20
Joao Prado
↑ 69'
21
Leonardo
22
Rafa Fonseca
24
Guga
Floresta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Dheimison
3
Afonso
🟨 42'
4
Joao Victor
⚽ 22'
9
Jeam
↓ 39'
13
Garraty
14
Valdo
15
Eliandro
17
Nonato
21
Matheus Martins
↓ 77'
29
Caique
↓ 85'
31
Buga
↓ 85'
Substitutes
22
Tiepo
2
Cedric
5
Jhony Douglas
6
Diego Matos
↑ 85'
10
Matheusinho
↑ 77'
11
Rafinha
↑ 85'
18
Joao Celeri
↑ 39'
19
Daniel
23
Islan
27
Marco Antonio
Last matches: Brusque
13.07.26
Ser
Brusque
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Brusque
Figueirense
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Maringá
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
Last matches: Floresta
11.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Caxias
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Barra
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Paysandu
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Floresta
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
H2H: Brusque vs Floresta
21.06.26
H2H
Brusque
Floresta
2
1
W
30.06.25
H2H
Floresta
Brusque
2
1
L
24.06.23
H2H
Brusque
Floresta
2
0
W
Last matches: Brusque
06.07.26
Ser
Brusque
Figueirense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
H2H at home: Brusque
21.06.26
H2H
Brusque
Floresta
2
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
Brusque
Floresta
2
0
W
Last matches: Floresta
11.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Caxias
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Paysandu
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Floresta
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
H2H away: Floresta
21.06.26
H2H
Brusque
Floresta
2
1
L
24.06.23
H2H
Brusque
Floresta
2
0
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation