18.09.2026 18:45
Old Road

Briton Ferry vs Trefelin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Briton Ferry Win 81.5%
Draw 9.3%
Trefelin Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Briton Ferry1.73
Trefelin1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WWDLW
9 GF / 24 GA
Trefelin Trefelin
WLDWL
5 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.5
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
3.1
5
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 11 matches
Trefelin Trefelin 10 matches
Briton Ferry Statistic Trefelin
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
7 Losses 8
9 Goals For 5
24 Goals Against 31
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 3.1
5 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Trefelin. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Briton Ferry arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 7 points compared to Trefelin in 14 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trefelin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Briton Ferry Analysis

Briton Ferry sit 11 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Trefelin Analysis

With 2 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Trefelin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 3:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Briton Ferry won 5 times, Trefelin won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from Briton Ferry's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.7%)
H2H summary: Briton Ferry wins 5, draws 1, Trefelin wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)