ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Ashton Gate Stadium
Referee: L. Smith
Bristol City
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
L. Kjerrumgaard · Assist: E. Kayembe
Watford
🟨
26'
Neto Borges
Bristol City
36'
S. Twine · Assist: A. Randell
Bristol City
🟨
58'
Jeremy Ngakia
Watford
🟨
58'
Stephen Mfuni
Watford
🔄
61'
S. Twine ↔ M. Bird
Bristol City
🔄
61'
E. Riis ↔ S. Armstrong
Bristol City
🔄
69'
N. Irankunda ↔ T. Ince
Watford
🔄
69'
S. Goglichidze ↔ M. Pollock
Watford
🔄
76'
M. Sykes ↔ C. Pring
Bristol City
77'
J. Ngakia
Watford
🔄
84'
T. Horvat ↔ D. Burgzorg
Bristol City
🔄
84'
R. McCrorie ↔ G. Earthy
Bristol City
🟨
86'
Edo Kayembe
Watford
🔄
86'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ E. Bove
Watford
🔄
86'
N. Mendy ↔ P. Ekwah
Watford
🟨
90+7'
Delano Burgzorg
Bristol City
🔄
90+3'
I. Louza ↔ M. Bola
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.41
Watford1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City Bristol City
WWDLW
52 GF / 43 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
44 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
16
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
16
4.26
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol City Bristol City 35 matches
Watford Watford 35 matches
Bristol City Statistic Watford
15 Wins 12
8 Draws 12
12 Losses 11
52 Goals For 44
43 Goals Against 45
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
16 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 27
17 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 9
4.26 Shots On Goal 4.43
12.77 Total Shots 13.86
4.91 Corners 4.74
48.7% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 4 times, Watford won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:24 from Bristol City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bristol City 3-4-2-1 / Watford 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 4, draws 5, Watford wins 6
Stats
Bristol City Bristol City
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
646 Total passes 350
564 Passes accurate 275
0.89 expected_goals 0.99
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bristol City
Formation
Watford
R. Vitek
R. Vitek
G. Tanner
G. Tanner
N. Eile
N. Eile
Neto Borges
Neto Borges
M. Sykes
M. Sykes
J. Knight
J. Knight
A. Randell
🎯
A. Randell
R. McCrorie
R. McCrorie
T. Horvat
T. Horvat
S. Twine
S. Twine
E. Riis
E. Riis
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
S. Goglichidze
S. Goglichidze
S. Mfuni
S. Mfuni
N. Irankunda
N. Irankunda
I. Louza
I. Louza
N. Mendy
N. Mendy
G. Chakvetadze
G. Chakvetadze
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
E. Kayembe
🎯
E. Kayembe
Bristol City 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
R. Vitek
G
19
G. Tanner
D
38
N. Eile
D
21
Neto Borges
🟨 26'
D
17
M. Sykes
↓ 76'
M
12
J. Knight
M
4
A. Randell
🎯 36'
M
2
R. McCrorie
↓ 84'
M
14
T. Horvat
↓ 84'
F
10
S. Twine
⚽ 36' ↓ 61'
F
18
E. Riis
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Lumley
G
40
S. Morsy
M
6
M. Bird
↑ 61'
M
11
D. Burgzorg
↑ 84' 🟨 90+7'
F
3
C. Pring
↑ 76'
D
30
S. Armstrong
↑ 61'
F
20
S. Bell
F
44
G. Earthy
↑ 84'
M
24
S. Naylor
D
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
⚽ 77' 🟨 58'
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
3
S. Goglichidze
↓ 69'
D
21
S. Mfuni
🟨 58'
D
66
N. Irankunda
↓ 69'
M
10
I. Louza
↓ 90+3'
M
23
N. Mendy
↓ 86'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
↓ 86'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
⚽ 7'
F
39
E. Kayembe
🎯 7' 🟨 86'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
7
T. Ince
↑ 69'
M
16
M. Bola
↑ 90+3'
D
15
E. Bove
↑ 86'
M
6
M. Pollock
↑ 69'
D
17
P. Ekwah
↑ 86'
M
29
J. Petris
D
18
V. Semedo
F
53
A. Nabizada
F
Last matches: Bristol City
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Exeter City
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Plymouth
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newcastle
4
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Forest Green
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Swindon Town
3
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
2
1
W
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
H2H: Bristol City vs Watford
27.02.26
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
10.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
W
07.11.25
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
2
1
W
26.11.24
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
1
0
L
20.01.24
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
1
D
26.12.23
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
1
4
W
15.04.23
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
2
0
L
12.11.22
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
6
0
L
25.11.20
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
0
0
D
06.01.18
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
3
0
L
22.08.17
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
2
3
W
14.01.14
H2H
Watford
Bristol City
2
0
L
04.01.14
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
1
D
Last matches: Bristol City
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newcastle
4
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
30.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
24.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
W
04.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Preston
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
2
2
D
06.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
1
L
22.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
3
0
W
04.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
3
1
W
H2H at home: Bristol City
27.02.26
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
10.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
2
1
W
20.01.24
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
1
D
12.11.22
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
0
0
D
25.11.20
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
0
0
D
04.01.14
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
1
D
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
27.02.26
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
W
10.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
2
1
L
20.01.24
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
1
D
12.11.22
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
0
0
D
25.11.20
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
0
0
D
04.01.14
H2H
Bristol City
Watford
1
1
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation