Bristol City vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
25.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Bristol City
Stoke City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bristol City
47 matches
Stoke City
47 matches
| Bristol City | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 16 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 19 | Losses | 21 |
| 62 | Goals For | 53 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.09 | Shots On Goal | 3.79 |
| 12.26 | Total Shots | 11.13 |
| 4.98 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Stoke City arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stoke City. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Bristol City are currently 13 in the standings with 59 points from 45 matches. The record of 16 wins, 11 draws, and 18 defeats, together with a 57:59 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Twine (11 goals), A. Mehmeti (10 goals), E. Riis (9 goals), with creative support from S. Twine (7 assists), A. Mehmeti (7 assists), R. McCrorie (6 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Stoke City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 55 points from 45 matches. The overall return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 20 defeats with a 51:54 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Thomas (10 goals), M. Manhoef (7 goals), D. Mubama (5 goals), with creative support from S. Thomas (11 assists), M. Manhoef (3 assists), Lamine Cissé (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 8 times, Stoke City won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Bristol City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Bristol City
Home
|
46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Stoke City
Away
|
46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|