29.07.2026 18:30
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City
Match Timeline
Newcastle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
F. Schar ↔ A. Murphy
Newcastle
26'
S. Greenwood
Bristol City
29'
L. Tolaj
Bristol City
🔄
46'
T. Horvat ↔ E. Morrison
Bristol City
🔄
46'
E. Jaouen ↔ N. Pope
Newcastle
50'
M. Bird · Assist: J. Knight
Bristol City
🔄
56'
S. Neave ↔ Park Seung-soo
Newcastle
🔄
68'
C. Pring ↔ J. Wallace
Bristol City
🔄
69'
L. Tolaj ↔ E. Adebayo
Bristol City
🔄
69'
M. Bird ↔ S. Twine
Bristol City
🔄
73'
L. Eissat ↔ N. Eile
Bristol City
🔄
73'
S. Greenwood ↔ S. Bell
Bristol City
🔄
73'
J. Knight ↔ G. Yah
Bristol City
🔄
74'
A. Randell ↔ J. Williams
Bristol City
🔄
74'
G. Tanner ↔ R. Atkinson
Bristol City
🔄
74'
R. Dickie ↔ M. Thelwell
Bristol City
🔄
74'
A. Elanga ↔ M. Ferreira
Newcastle
78'
H. Barnes · Assist: J. Ramsey
Newcastle
81'
S. Botman
Bristol City
🔄
82'
J. Murphy ↔ L. Shahar
Newcastle
🔄
90'
L. Hall ↔ M. Miley
Newcastle
🔄
90'
J. Willock ↔ D. Charlton
Newcastle

Bristol City vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 72.6%
Draw 17.7%
Newcastle Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City0.95
Newcastle1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City Bristol City
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Newcastle Newcastle
WLDWL
4 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol City Bristol City 4 matches
Newcastle Newcastle 2 matches
Bristol City Statistic Newcastle
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
5 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 1
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 1 times, Newcastle won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Bristol City's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Bristol City 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 1, draws 1, Newcastle wins 1