ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Ashton Gate Stadium
Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England
Bristol City
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
16'
R. McGree ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
17'
E. Riis
Bristol City
🟨
25'
Morgan Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
33'
Matt Targett
Middlesbrough
🟨
36'
Sinclair Armstrong
Bristol City
🔄
54'
A. Mehmeti ↔ R. Atkinson
Bristol City
62'
R. Atkinson · Assist: S. Twine
Bristol City
🔄
73'
T. Conway ↔ M. K. Sene
Middlesbrough
🔄
73'
M. Targett ↔ A. Bangura
Middlesbrough
🔄
74'
E. Riis ↔ F. Mayulu
Bristol City
🔄
74'
↔ A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🔄
84'
A. Gilbert ↔ D. Burgzorg
Middlesbrough
🟨
87'
Cameron Pring
Bristol City
🟨
87'
Luke Ayling
Middlesbrough
🔄
90'
C. Pring ↔ H. Roberts
Bristol City
🔄
90'
S. Armstrong ↔ Y. Hirakawa
Bristol City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.22
Middlesbrough1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City Bristol City
WWDLW
28 GF / 24 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
33 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
10
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
12
4.24
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol City Bristol City 21 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 21 matches
Bristol City Statistic Middlesbrough
8 Wins 12
6 Draws 6
7 Losses 3
28 Goals For 33
24 Goals Against 22
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
10 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 3
4.24 Shots On Goal 4.14
14.1 Total Shots 13.19
5.29 Corners 5.76
47.1% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 9 times, Middlesbrough won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Bristol City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bristol City 4-2-2-2 / Middlesbrough 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 9, draws 4, Middlesbrough wins 2
Stats
Bristol City Bristol City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
13
3 Corner Kicks 13
6 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 0
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 28
8 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 12
2 Blocked Shots 13
6 Shots insidebox 19
7 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
243 Total passes 594
174 Passes accurate 495
0.90 expected_goals 2.18
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bristol City
Formation
Middlesbrough
M. O'Leary
M. O'Leary
R. McCrorie
R. McCrorie
R. Dickie
R. Dickie
Z. Vyner
Z. Vyner
C. Pring
C. Pring
A. Randell
A. Randell
J. Knight
J. Knight
S. Twine
🎯
S. Twine
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
S. Armstrong
S. Armstrong
E. Riis
E. Riis
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
A. Gilbert
A. Gilbert
A. Jones
A. Jones
C. Brittain
C. Brittain
M. Whittaker
M. Whittaker
H. Hackney
H. Hackney
R. McGree
R. McGree
M. Targett
M. Targett
D. Strelec
D. Strelec
T. Conway
T. Conway
Bristol City 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
1
M. O'Leary
G
2
R. McCrorie
D
16
R. Dickie
D
14
Z. Vyner
D
3
C. Pring
↓ 90' 🟨 87'
D
4
A. Randell
M
12
J. Knight
M
10
S. Twine
🎯 62'
M
11
A. Mehmeti
↓ 54'
M
30
S. Armstrong
↓ 90' 🟨 36'
F
18
E. Riis
⚽ 17' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Lumley
G
5
R. Atkinson
⚽ 62' ↑ 54'
D
24
H. Roberts
↑ 90'
D
34
J. Meerholz
7
Y. Hirakawa
↑ 90'
F
26
J. Stokes
M
9
F. Mayulu
↑ 74'
F
27
H. Cornick
F
25
E. Yeboah
F
Middlesbrough 3-5-2
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
12
L. Ayling
🟨 87'
D
14
A. Gilbert
↓ 84'
D
5
A. Jones
D
2
C. Brittain
M
11
M. Whittaker
🟨 25'
M
7
H. Hackney
M
8
R. McGree
↓ 16'
M
3
M. Targett
↓ 73' 🟨 33'
M
13
D. Strelec
F
9
T. Conway
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
10
D. Burgzorg
↑ 84'
F
16
A. Browne
↑ 74'
M
17
M. Hamilton
F
19
S. Nypan
↑ 16'
M
20
M. K. Sene
↑ 73'
F
22
S. Silvera
F
24
A. Bangura
↑ 73'
D
25
G. Edmundson
D
Last matches: Bristol City
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Exeter City
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Plymouth
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newcastle
4
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Forest Green
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Swindon Town
3
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
H2H: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough
14.03.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
20.12.25
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
21.02.25
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
W
10.02.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
3
2
W
10.04.23
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
05.11.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
19.02.22
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
2
1
L
23.02.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
3
W
20.10.20
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
11.07.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
3
W
31.08.19
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
02.04.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
1
W
Last matches: Bristol City
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newcastle
4
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
30.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
24.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
W
04.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Preston
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
2
2
D
06.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
1
L
22.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
3
0
W
04.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
3
1
W
H2H at home: Bristol City
20.12.25
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
21.02.25
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
3
2
W
10.04.23
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
19.02.22
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
20.10.20
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
31.08.19
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
3
L
H2H away: Middlesbrough
20.12.25
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
21.02.25
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
3
2
L
10.04.23
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
19.02.22
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
20.10.20
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
0
1
W
31.08.19
H2H
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation