Bristol City
Match Timeline
Derby
Bristol City vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.43
Derby1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City
WWDLW
45 GF / 32 GA
Derby
WLDWL
40 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
22
13
Over 2.5
15
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bristol City
30 matches
Derby
30 matches
| Bristol City | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 45 | Goals For | 40 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.2 |
| 13.3 | Total Shots | 9.73 |
| 5.07 | Corners | 4.97 |
| 48.4% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 7 times, Derby won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Bristol City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bristol City 3-4-2-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 7, draws 4, Derby wins 4
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Derby
Away
|
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Bristol City
Home
|
46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
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