Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Brighton
Manchester United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
39 matches
Manchester United
38 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 19 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 8 |
| 54 | Goals For | 67 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.64 | Shots On Goal | 5.71 |
| 13.13 | Total Shots | 15.89 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Manchester United look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Manchester United.
From their first 37 matches, Brighton have collected 53 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 52:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Welbeck (13 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), J. Hinshelwood (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Minteh (4 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists), Georginio Rutter (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 3 place with 68 points from 37 games, Manchester United bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 19 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, with a 66:50 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on B. Sesko (11 goals), B. Mbeumo (10 goals), M. Cunha (10 goals), with creative support from Bruno Fernandes (20 assists), B. Mbeumo (3 assists), Patrick Dorgu (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 7 times, Manchester United won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:24 from Brighton's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Brighton
2
7
6
3
5
1
Lineups
Brighton
Leeds
Brighton
Wolves
Brighton
Newcastle
Brighton
Chelsea
Brighton
Tottenham
Brighton
Burnley
Brighton
Liverpool
Brighton
Sunderland
Brighton
Arsenal
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Brentford
Brighton
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Brighton
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Brighton
Fulham
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brighton
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester City
Brighton
Burnley
Manchester United
Rosenborg
Manchester United
Wrexham
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Fulham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Burnley
Brighton
Wolves
Brighton
Chelsea
Brighton
Liverpool
Brighton
Arsenal
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brighton
Burnley
Brighton
Sunderland
Brighton
West Ham
Brighton
Aston Villa
Brighton
Brentford
Brighton
Leeds
Brighton
Newcastle
Brighton
Tottenham
Brighton
Manchester City
Brighton
Fulham
Manchester United
Rosenborg
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Burnley
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Wolves
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Fulham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Away
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|