Brighton
Match Timeline
Liverpool
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Liverpool Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.24
Liverpool1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
41 GF / 40 GA
Liverpool
WLDWL
83 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
19
BTTS Yes
24
15
Over 2.5
27
4.31
Shots on Goal
5.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
32 matches
Liverpool
43 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 24 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 12 |
| 41 | Goals For | 83 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.93 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.31 | Shots On Goal | 5.6 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 17.07 |
| 4.69 | Corners | 6.37 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 59.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 5 times, Liverpool won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:26 from Brighton's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Brighton wins 5, draws 4, Liverpool wins 6
Stats
Brighton
Liverpool
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Brighton
Formation
Liverpool
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
J. Milner
P. Gross
D. Gomez
J. Hinshelwood
Y. Minteh
D. Welbeck
G. Mamardashvili
J. Frimpong
I. Konate
V. van Dijk
M. Kerkez
D. Szoboszlai
R. Gravenberch
F. Wirtz
A. Mac Allister
H. Ekitike
C. Gakpo
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
D
🟨 90+4'
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
5
L. Dunk
D
🟨 85'
24
F. Kadioglu
D
20
J. Milner
M
↓ 76'
30
P. Gross
M
25
D. Gomez
M
🎯 14'
↓ 90+1'
🟨 45+5'
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
🎯 56'
↓ 83'
11
Y. Minteh
M
↓ 76'
🟨 25'
18
D. Welbeck
F
⚽ 14'
⚽ 56'
↓ 83'
🟨 48'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
34
J. Veltman
D
↑ 90+1'
21
O. Boscagli
D
22
K. Mitoma
M
↑ 76'
26
Y. Ayari
M
↑ 83'
17
C. Baleba
M
↑ 76'
19
C. Kostoulas
F
10
G. Rutter
F
↑ 83'
29
M. De Cuyper
D
Liverpool
4-3-1-2
Starting XI
25
G. Mamardashvili
G
30
J. Frimpong
D
↓ 63'
🟨 61'
5
I. Konate
D
↓ 77'
🟨 45'
4
V. van Dijk
D
6
M. Kerkez
D
⚽ 30'
↓ 76'
8
D. Szoboszlai
M
🟨 79'
38
R. Gravenberch
M
7
F. Wirtz
M
10
A. Mac Allister
M
🟨 68'
22
H. Ekitike
F
↓ 8'
18
C. Gakpo
F
Substitutes
28
F. Woodman
G
14
F. Chiesa
F
↑ 77'
🟨 90'
17
C. Jones
M
↑ 8'
68
K. Morrison
M
26
A. Robertson
D
↑ 76'
2
J. Gomez
D
47
C. Ramsay
D
42
T. Nyoni
M
73
R. Ngumoha
F
↑ 63'
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
Last matches: Liverpool
24.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Brentford
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Aston Villa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Chelsea
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester United
2
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
3
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
Liverpool
Everton
2
1
W
14.04.26
UEF
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Liverpool
Fulham
2
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
04.04.26
FA
Liverpool
Manchester City
0
4
L
18.03.26
UEF
Liverpool
Galatasaray
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Tottenham
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Liverpool
Galatasaray
0
1
L
06.03.26
FA
Liverpool
Wolves
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Wolves
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
West Ham
5
2
W
22.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Liverpool
Brighton
3
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Sunderland
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester City
1
2
L
H2H: Brighton vs Liverpool
21.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
Liverpool
Brighton
3
0
L
13.12.25
H2H
Liverpool
Brighton
2
0
L
19.05.25
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
3
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Liverpool
Brighton
2
1
L
30.10.24
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
3
L
31.03.24
H2H
Liverpool
Brighton
2
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.01.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
3
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
Liverpool
Brighton
3
3
D
12.03.22
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.10.21
H2H
Liverpool
Brighton
2
2
D
03.02.21
H2H
Liverpool
Brighton
0
1
W
28.11.20
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
1
1
D
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
03.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Brighton
21.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
19.05.25
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
3
2
W
30.10.24
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
3
L
08.10.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.01.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
3
0
W
12.03.22
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
28.11.20
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
1
1
D
Last matches: Liverpool
15.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Aston Villa
2
4
L
03.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester United
2
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Liverpool
Everton
2
1
W
08.04.26
UEF
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
04.04.26
FA
Liverpool
Manchester City
0
4
L
10.03.26
UEF
Liverpool
Galatasaray
0
1
L
06.03.26
FA
Liverpool
Wolves
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Wolves
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Sunderland
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Liverpool
Bournemouth
2
3
L
21.01.26
UEF
Liverpool
Marseille
3
0
W
08.01.26
Pre
Liverpool
Arsenal
0
0
D
04.01.26
Pre
Liverpool
Fulham
2
2
D
20.12.25
Pre
Liverpool
Tottenham
2
1
W
09.12.25
UEF
Liverpool
Inter
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Liverpool
Leeds
3
3
D
30.11.25
Pre
Liverpool
West Ham
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester City
0
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Liverpool
Brentford
2
3
L
H2H away: Liverpool
21.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
L
19.05.25
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
3
2
L
30.10.24
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
3
W
08.10.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
L
14.01.23
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
3
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
W
28.11.20
H2H
Brighton
Liverpool
1
1
D
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Liverpool
Away
|
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|