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08.11.2026 14:00
American Express Stadium
Referee: Michael Oliver
Brighton
Match Timeline
Brentford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Kristoffer Ajer
Brentford
⚽
15'
Diego Gomez
Brighton
🟨
22'
Chema Andrés
Brighton
VAR
23'
Igor Thiago
Brentford
🟥
23'
Igor Thiago
Brentford
🟨
27'
Olivier Boscagli
Brighton
⚽
42'
Pascal Groß
Brighton
🔄
45'
Dango Ouattara ↔ Yehor Yarmoliuk
Brentford
🔄
45'
Chema Andrés ↔ Mats Wieffer
Brighton
🔄
45'
Aaron Hickey ↔ Nathan Collins
Brentford
🟨
51'
Mats Wieffer
Brighton
🔄
59'
Keane Lewis-Potter ↔ El Hadji Malick Diouf
Brentford
🔄
59'
Mamadou Sangare ↔ Mathias Jensen
Brentford
🟨
61'
Lewis Dunk
Brighton
🟨
69'
Kevin Schade
Brentford
🔄
69'
Sepp van den Berg ↔ Callum Wilson
Brentford
🔄
78'
Yasin Ayari ↔ Jack Hinshelwood
Brighton
🔄
82'
Charalampos Kostoulas ↔ Georginio Rutter
Brighton
🔄
82'
Maxim De Cuyper ↔ Yankuba Minteh
Brighton
🔄
90+3'
Diego Gomez ↔ Malick Yalcouyé
Brighton

Brighton vs Brentford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64%
Odds 1.93
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64%
1.93 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 64%
Draw 20.4%
Brentford Win 15.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.85
Brentford1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton Brighton
W W L D W
7 GF / 2 GA
Brentford Brentford
W D L D W
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.41
Average Goals Scored
2.45
0.59
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
5.43
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brighton Brighton 17 matches
Brentford Brentford 11 matches
Brighton Statistic Brentford
12 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
2 Losses 1
41 Goals For 27
10 Goals Against 11
2.41 Avg Goals Scored 2.45
0.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 0
5.43 Shots On Goal 4
19.36 Total Shots 14
6.21 Corners 4
62.6% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 7 times, Brentford won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Brighton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Brentford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 7, draws 4, Brentford wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 15:5 10 27
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 26:7 19 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 21:13 8 21
L L L W W
4 10 5 3 2 14:10 4 18
W L W W L
5 10 5 1 4 19:16 3 16
L W L W W
6 10 4 4 2 12:10 2 16
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 16:14 2 15
W W W W L
8 10 3 5 2 16:11 5 14
L W D L D
9 10 3 5 2 10:8 2 14
W L D D L
10 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
D D W W D
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
L W W W D
12 10 3 3 4 13:16 -3 12
D L W L L
13 10 2 5 3 11:11 0 11
L D D L D
14 10 3 2 5 15:20 -5 11
L D D L W
15 10 2 4 4 10:12 -2 10
D D W W L
16 10 2 3 5 9:13 -4 9
W L D L L
17 10 3 0 7 10:19 -9 9
L W L L W
18 10 1 5 4 14:19 -5 8
D L L D D
19 10 2 2 6 8:17 -9 8
W L D L L
20 10 2 1 7 10:24 -14 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship