Brighton
Match Timeline
Bournemouth
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bournemouth Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.66
Bournemouth1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Bournemouth
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
15
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
15
4.41
Shots on Goal
5.32
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
22 matches
Bournemouth
22 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 33 | Goals For | 36 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.91 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.41 | Shots On Goal | 5.32 |
| 13.18 | Total Shots | 14.14 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5.64 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 7 times, Bournemouth won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Brighton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 7, draws 2, Bournemouth wins 6
Stats
Brighton
Bournemouth
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Brighton
Formation
Bournemouth
B. Verbruggen
J. Veltman
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
J. Hinshelwood
P. Gross
B. Gruda
D. Gomez
K. Mitoma
D. Welbeck
D. Petrovic
A. Jimenez
J. Hill
M. Senesi
A. Truffert
A. Scott
L. Cook
M. Tavernier
E. J. Kroupi
A. Adli
Evanilson
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
34
J. Veltman
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
🎯 90'
🟨 77'
5
L. Dunk
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
↓ 89'
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
↓ 66'
30
P. Gross
M
8
B. Gruda
M
↓ 66'
25
D. Gomez
M
↓ 66'
22
K. Mitoma
M
18
D. Welbeck
F
↓ 77'
🟨 58'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
21
O. Boscagli
D
↑ 89'
26
Y. Ayari
M
42
D. Coppola
D
17
C. Baleba
M
↑ 66'
19
C. Kostoulas
F
⚽ 90'
↑ 77'
10
G. Rutter
F
↑ 66'
11
Y. Minteh
F
↑ 66'
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Petrovic
G
🟨 85'
20
A. Jimenez
D
↓ 90+9'
23
J. Hill
D
5
M. Senesi
D
🟨 60'
3
A. Truffert
D
8
A. Scott
M
4
L. Cook
M
16
M. Tavernier
M
⚽ 32'
↓ 71'
22
E. J. Kroupi
M
↓ 72'
21
A. Adli
M
↓ 79'
9
Evanilson
F
Substitutes
17
F. Forster
G
15
A. Smith
D
↑ 71'
🟨 83'
10
R. Christie
M
↑ 72'
18
B. Diakite
D
↑ 79'
50
R. Rees-Dottin
F
49
D. Sadi
F
44
V. Milosavljevic
D
↑ 90+9'
53
C. Stevens
M
51
M. Dacosta
M
Last matches: Brighton
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
Last matches: Bournemouth
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Liverpool
3
2
W
H2H: Brighton vs Bournemouth
19.01.26
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
L
25.02.25
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
2
W
28.04.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
0
L
24.09.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
3
1
W
04.04.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
0
2
W
04.02.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
0
W
21.01.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
1
L
28.12.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
0
W
13.04.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
0
5
L
05.01.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
3
W
22.12.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
0
L
01.01.18
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
2
D
19.09.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
0
L
Last matches: Brighton
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
03.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Brighton
19.01.26
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.02.25
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
1
W
24.09.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
3
1
W
04.02.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
0
W
28.12.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
0
W
13.04.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
0
5
L
01.01.18
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
2
D
Last matches: Bournemouth
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
2
D
30.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Chelsea
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
1
4
L
15.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
4
4
D
29.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
0
4
L
02.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
3
D
27.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Tottenham
1
0
W
H2H away: Bournemouth
19.01.26
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.02.25
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
1
L
24.09.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
3
1
L
04.02.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
0
L
28.12.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
0
L
13.04.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
0
5
W
01.01.18
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
2
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bournemouth
Away
|
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship