ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
02.05.2026 14:00
Brentford Community Stadium
Referee: C. Pawson
Brentford
Match Timeline
West Ham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
K. Mavropanos
Brentford
VAR
22'
Konstantinos Mavropanos
West Ham
54'
I. Thiago
Brentford
🟨
59'
Valentín Castellanos
West Ham
🟨
62'
Crysencio Summerville
West Ham
🔄
65'
K. Walker-Peters ↔ A. Wan-Bissaka
West Ham
🔄
65'
T. Castellanos ↔ C. Wilson
West Ham
🟨
73'
Michael Kayode
Brentford
🔄
74'
M. Diouf ↔ A. Traore
West Ham
🔄
80'
K. Schade ↔ K. Ajer
Brentford
82'
M. Damsgaard · Assist: K. Lewis-Potter
Brentford
🔄
88'
J. Bowen ↔ S. Magassa
West Ham
🔄
88'
C. Summerville ↔ O. Scarles
West Ham
🟨
90+6'
Oliver Scarles
West Ham
🔄
90+1'
M. Damsgaard ↔ J. Dasilva
Brentford
🔄
90+1'
K. Lewis-Potter ↔ A. Hickey
Brentford
🔄
90'
D. Ouattara ↔ K. Furo
Brentford

Brentford vs West Ham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brentford Win 53.8%
Draw 5.6%
West Ham Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford1.54
West Ham1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brentford Brentford
WWDLW
54 GF / 48 GA
West Ham West Ham
WLDWL
49 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
19
BTTS Yes
22
18
Over 2.5
23
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brentford Brentford 37 matches
West Ham West Ham 38 matches
Brentford Statistic West Ham
15 Wins 11
10 Draws 11
12 Losses 16
54 Goals For 49
48 Goals Against 63
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
19 BTTS Yes 22
29 Over 1.5 33
18 Over 2.5 23
14 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 11
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.71
11.22 Total Shots 11.26
5.08 Corners 5.45
48.9% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Brentford's more proactive style and West Ham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward West Ham. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brentford expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and West Ham in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward West Ham having the stronger overall control. Brentford arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 48 points compared to West Ham in 17 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Brentford Analysis

So far, Brentford have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 48 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 49:46 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Thiago (21 goals), K. Schade (7 goals), D. Ouattara (5 goals), with creative support from M. Damsgaard (4 assists), Vitaly Janelt (4 assists), K. Schade (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

West Ham Analysis

With 36 points from 34 games and a place of 17, West Ham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats with a 42:58 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Bowen (8 goals), C. Wilson (6 goals), C. Summerville (5 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (10 assists), M. Diouf (5 assists), M. Fernandes (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Brentford won 8 times, West Ham won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Brentford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Brentford 4-2-3-1 / West Ham 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Brentford wins 8, draws 2, West Ham wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship