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17.10.2026 14:00
Brentford Community Stadium
Referee: J. Brooks
Brentford
Match Timeline
Liverpool
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Bradley Barcola
Liverpool
🔄
32'
D. Szoboszlai ↔ T. Nyoni
Liverpool
VAR
41'
Alexis Mac Allister
Liverpool
⚽
41'
Liverpool
Liverpool
⚽
44'
K. Lewis-Potter · Assist: I. Thiago
Brentford
🟥
45+8'
Yehor Yarmoliuk
Brentford
VAR
45+5'
Yehor Yarmoliuk
Brentford
🟨
46'
Igor Thiago
Brentford
🔄
46'
D. Ouattara ↔ K. Schade
Brentford
🔄
46'
M. Jensen ↔ M. Sangare
Brentford
🔄
46'
R. Araujo ↔ J. Frimpong
Liverpool
🟨
49'
Jérémy Jacquet
Liverpool
🔄
52'
↔ R. Ngumoha
Liverpool
🟨
53'
Alexis Mac Allister
Liverpool
🟨
60'
Kevin Schade
Brentford
⚽
62'
V. Munoz · Assist: F. Wirtz
Liverpool
🟨
63'
Vitaly Janelt
Brentford
⚽
70'
A. Isak · Assist: B. Barcola
Liverpool
🔄
71'
S. van den Berg ↔ A. Hickey
Brentford
🔄
77'
K. Lewis-Potter ↔ M. Diouf
Brentford
🔄
77'
J. Anthony ↔ M. Damsgaard
Brentford
🔄
79'
V. Munoz ↔ J. Gomez
Liverpool
🔄
79'
A. Isak ↔ L. Koumas
Liverpool
🟨
90+2'
Vitaly Janelt
Brentford
🟥
90+2'
Vitaly Janelt
Brentford

Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Brentford Win 59.6%
Draw 8.7%
Liverpool Win 31.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford2.29
Liverpool1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brentford Brentford
D W D D D
9 GF / 6 GA
Liverpool Liverpool
W L W D W
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.88
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brentford Brentford 8 matches
Liverpool Liverpool 10 matches
Brentford Statistic Liverpool
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
0 Losses 2
23 Goals For 17
8 Goals Against 14
2.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 5.5
15.83 Total Shots 16.13
4 Corners 5.38
45.5% Ball Possession 54.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Liverpool.

Brentford Analysis

Brentford come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 9 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 10:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Schade (3 goals), V. Janelt (2 goals), K. Lewis-Potter (1 goals), with creative support from K. Lewis-Potter (1 assists), M. Sangaré (1 assists), Jannik Schuster (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Liverpool Analysis

So far, Liverpool have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 9 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 7:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Isak (4 goals), C. Gakpo (1 goals), D. Szoboszlai (1 goals), with creative support from C. Gakpo (3 assists), F. Wirtz (1 assists), R. Gravenberch (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Brentford won 2 times, Liverpool won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:22 from Brentford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Brentford 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Brentford 7, Liverpool 7
H2H summary: Brentford wins 2, draws 2, Liverpool wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 15:5 10 27
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 26:7 19 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 21:13 8 21
L L L W W
4 10 5 3 2 14:10 4 18
W L W W L
5 10 5 1 4 19:16 3 16
L W L W W
6 10 4 4 2 12:10 2 16
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 16:14 2 15
W W W W L
8 10 3 5 2 16:11 5 14
L W D L D
9 10 3 5 2 10:8 2 14
W L D D L
10 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
D D W W D
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
L W W W D
12 10 3 3 4 13:16 -3 12
D L W L L
13 10 2 5 3 11:11 0 11
L D D L D
14 10 3 2 5 15:20 -5 11
L D D L W
15 10 2 4 4 10:12 -2 10
D D W W L
16 10 2 3 5 9:13 -4 9
W L D L L
17 10 3 0 7 10:19 -9 9
L W L L W
18 10 1 5 4 14:19 -5 8
D L L D D
19 10 2 2 6 8:17 -9 8
W L D L L
20 10 2 1 7 10:24 -14 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship