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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
17.05.2026 14:00
Brentford Community Stadium
Referee: S. Barrott
Brentford
Match Timeline
Crystal Palace
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Ismaïla Sarr
Crystal Palace
⚽
6'
I. Sarr
Crystal Palace
⚽
40'
D. Ouattara
Brentford
🔄
46'
Y. Pino ↔ B. Johnson
Crystal Palace
⚽
52'
A. Wharton · Assist: D. Munoz
Crystal Palace
🔄
61'
J. S. Larsen ↔ J. Mateta
Crystal Palace
🔄
61'
M. Lacroix ↔ C. Richards
Crystal Palace
🔄
63'
V. Janelt ↔ J. Henderson
Brentford
🔄
63'
M. Jensen ↔ K. Schade
Brentford
🔄
74'
C. Riad ↔ J. Lerma
Crystal Palace
🔄
82'
K. Ajer ↔ S. van den Berg
Brentford
🟨
83'
Chris Richards
Crystal Palace
⚽
88'
D. Ouattara · Assist: S. van den Berg
Brentford
🟨
89'
Jefferson Lerma
Crystal Palace
🔄
89'
Y. Yarmolyuk ↔ J. Dasilva
Brentford
🟨
90+5'
Michael Kayode
Brentford
🟨
90+5'
Dean Henderson
Crystal Palace
🔄
90+3'
I. Sarr ↔ E. Guessand
Crystal Palace

Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Brentford Win 50.9%
Draw 18.2%
Crystal Palace Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford1.34
Crystal Palace1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brentford Brentford
WWDLW
57 GF / 51 GA
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WLDWL
65 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
19
BTTS Yes
27
20
Over 2.5
29
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brentford Brentford 39 matches
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 53 matches
Brentford Statistic Crystal Palace
16 Wins 20
10 Draws 15
13 Losses 18
57 Goals For 65
51 Goals Against 61
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
19 BTTS Yes 27
31 Over 1.5 38
20 Over 2.5 29
14 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 19
12 Failed To Score 15
4.1 Shots On Goal 4.23
11.1 Total Shots 12.96
4.92 Corners 4.4
48.7% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Brentford's more proactive style and Crystal Palace's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brentford expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Crystal Palace in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crystal Palace having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Crystal Palace. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Brentford Analysis

From their first 36 matches, Brentford have collected 51 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 52:49 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Thiago (22 goals), K. Schade (7 goals), D. Ouattara (5 goals), with creative support from M. Damsgaard (4 assists), Vitaly Janelt (4 assists), K. Schade (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Crystal Palace Analysis

Crystal Palace sit 15 with 44 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 38:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jean-Philippe Mateta (11 goals), I. Sarr (8 goals), Daniel Muñoz (4 goals), with creative support from Adam Wharton (5 assists), M. Guehi (3 assists), Jefferson Lerma (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Brentford won 2 times, Crystal Palace won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Brentford's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: Brentford 4-2-3-1 / Crystal Palace 3-4-3
Missing players: Brentford 3, Crystal Palace 4
H2H summary: Brentford wins 2, draws 6, Crystal Palace wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship