ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
31.08.2026 19:15
Referee: E. I. Arnason
Breidablik
Match Timeline
Stjarnan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
G. Kristjansson · Assist: B. Waren
Stjarnan
40'
B. Ingason · Assist: O. Eggertsson
Stjarnan
🔄
46'
O. Orvarsson ↔ D. Dankerlui
Stjarnan
🟨
49'
E. Atlason
Stjarnan
🔄
58'
O. Eggertsson ↔ J. Gunnarsson
Stjarnan
🔄
65'
K. Kristinsson ↔ J. Arnarsson
Breidablik
🔄
65'
I. Arnason ↔ V. Margeirsson
Breidablik
🔄
65'
A. Ludviksson ↔ G. Hallsson
Breidablik
🔄
74'
A. Hauksson ↔ I. Turay
Stjarnan
🔄
75'
E. Atlason ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
🔄
82'
A. Orrason ↔ K. Steindorsson
Breidablik
🔄
82'
V. Einarsson ↔ A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
84'
B. Waren ↔ A. Leifsson
Stjarnan
🟨
90'
D. Dankerlui
Stjarnan
🟨
90+4'
G. Kjeldsen
Stjarnan
🟨
90+4'
H. Karlsson
Breidablik
🟨
90+5'
K. Steindorsson
Breidablik

Breidablik vs Stjarnan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.28
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
1.95
BTTS Yes
75%
1.28
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.28
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.33
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Breidablik Win 76.6%
Draw 6.8%
Stjarnan Win 16.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Breidablik2.11
Stjarnan1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Breidablik Breidablik
WWDLW
42 GF / 37 GA
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WLDWL
49 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
14
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Breidablik Breidablik 20 matches
Stjarnan Stjarnan 26 matches
Breidablik Statistic Stjarnan
8 Wins 11
6 Draws 4
6 Losses 11
42 Goals For 49
37 Goals Against 55
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
14 BTTS Yes 21
15 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 18
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Breidablik's more proactive style and Stjarnan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stjarnan. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stjarnan having the stronger overall control.

Breidablik Analysis

Placed 4 with 30 points from 19 outings, Breidablik continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 39:33 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan are currently 7 in the standings with 24 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, while the 38:48 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Breidablik won 8 times, Stjarnan won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:29 from Breidablik's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Breidablik wins 8, draws 3, Stjarnan wins 4

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
D D W W D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D D W W L
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L D W D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L L L D L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W D D W W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L W W L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
D W W L W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W D L D W
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
L W D L W
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W W L L L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W D L D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L L L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs