ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. Stefansson
Breidablik
Match Timeline
Keflavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
A. Conteh · Assist: A. Kralj
Keflavik
🟨
32'
V. Margeirsson
Breidablik
57'
J. Arnarsson · Assist: D. Ingvarsson
Breidablik
🔄
60'
V. Einarsson ↔ K. Jonsson
Breidablik
🔄
60'
D. Ingvarsson ↔ D. Fjeldsted
Breidablik
🔄
63'
M. Mudrazija ↔ E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
🔄
72'
J. Arnarsson ↔ T. Willumsson
Breidablik
🔄
74'
S. Magnusson ↔ D. Valsson
Keflavik
🔄
83'
B. Baxter ↔ B. Gudlaugsson
Keflavik
🔄
84'
G. Hallsson ↔ A. Ludviksson
Breidablik
89'
K. Jonsson · Assist: D. Fjeldsted
Breidablik
🟨
90+2'
A. Jonsson
Breidablik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Breidablik Win 63.5%
Draw 4.4%
Keflavik Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Breidablik2.22
Keflavik1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Breidablik Breidablik
WWDLW
32 GF / 25 GA
Keflavik Keflavik
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.46
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
10
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Breidablik Breidablik 13 matches
Keflavik Keflavik 13 matches
Breidablik Statistic Keflavik
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
32 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 24
2.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
10 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Breidablik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Keflavik. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Keflavik having the stronger overall control.

Breidablik Analysis

Breidablik come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 15 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 22:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Keflavik Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Keflavik have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Breidablik won 9 times, Keflavik won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:16 from Breidablik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Breidablik wins 9, draws 2, Keflavik wins 3

Lineups

Breidablik
Formation
Keflavik
A. Einarsson
A. Einarsson
V. Margeirsson
V. Margeirsson
A. Orrason
A. Orrason
I. Arnason
I. Arnason
A. Jonsson
A. Jonsson
V. Einarsson
V. Einarsson
G. Hallsson
G. Hallsson
D. Ingvarsson
🎯
D. Ingvarsson
A. Thorsteinsson
A. Thorsteinsson
J. Arnarsson
J. Arnarsson
A. Gunnleifsson
A. Gunnleifsson
A. Magnusson
A. Magnusson
A. Magnusson
A. Magnusson
M. Brigic
M. Brigic
D. Aronsson
D. Aronsson
A. Kralj
🎯
A. Kralj
B. Baxter
B. Baxter
S. Magnusson
S. Magnusson
M. Al Ghoul
M. Al Ghoul
M. Mudrazija
M. Mudrazija
A. Conteh
A. Conteh
S. Ljubicic
S. Ljubicic
Breidablik 3-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Einarsson
G
21
V. Margeirsson
🟨 32'
D
4
A. Orrason
D
5
I. Arnason
D
6
A. Jonsson
🟨 90+2'
M
8
V. Einarsson
↓ 60'
M
29
G. Hallsson
↓ 84'
M
18
D. Ingvarsson
🎯 57' ↓ 60'
M
15
A. Thorsteinsson
F
22
J. Arnarsson
⚽ 57' ↓ 72'
33
A. Gunnleifsson
Substitutes
12
G. Snaeholm
19
K. Jonsson
⚽ 89' ↑ 60'
D
10
K. Steindorsson
F
13
A. Ludviksson
↑ 84'
M
16
D. Fjeldsted
🎯 89' ↑ 60'
M
40
E. Robertoson
32
K. Bjorgvinsson
M
24
B. O. Jonsson
45
T. Willumsson
↑ 72'
Keflavik 2-1-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Magnusson
22
A. Magnusson
20
M. Brigic
5
D. Aronsson
D
13
A. Kralj
🎯 24'
D
8
B. Baxter
↓ 83'
6
S. Magnusson
↓ 74'
11
M. Al Ghoul
14
M. Mudrazija
↓ 63'
21
A. Conteh
⚽ 24'
M
10
S. Ljubicic
F
Substitutes
12
H. Hermannsson
3
A. Johannesson
23
E. Ragnarsson
↑ 63'
18
E. Bjarnason
7
D. Valsson
↑ 74'
M
4
N. Heras
D
17
B. Gudlaugsson
↑ 83'
47
E. Karlsson
28
V. A. Traustason
Last matches: Breidablik
27.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
0
W
20.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
0
D
04.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
2
1
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Stjarnan
4
4
D
29.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
3
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
10.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
18.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Strasbourg
1
3
L
11.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Samsunspor
2
2
D
06.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Breidablik
KuPS
0
0
D
Last matches: Keflavik
24.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
20.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
5
2
W
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
H2H: Breidablik vs Keflavik
13.07.26
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
22.04.26
H2H
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
25.04.24
H2H
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
1
L
07.03.24
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
29.05.23
H2H
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
17.07.22
H2H
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
3
W
19.04.22
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
1
W
08.01.22
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
5
2
W
25.07.21
H2H
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
0
L
23.06.21
H2H
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
0
L
13.05.21
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
0
W
01.04.21
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
23.01.21
H2H
Keflavik
Breidablik
1
6
W
25.06.20
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
3
2
W
Last matches: Breidablik
27.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
0
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
3
D
27.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Samsunspor
2
2
D
23.10.25
UEF
Breidablik
KuPS
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Virtus
2
1
W
14.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Zrinjski
1
2
L
30.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
15.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
5
0
W
H2H at home: Breidablik
13.07.26
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
07.03.24
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
19.04.22
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
1
W
08.01.22
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
5
2
W
13.05.21
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
0
W
01.04.21
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
25.06.20
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
3
2
W
Last matches: Keflavik
24.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
H2H away: Keflavik
13.07.26
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
L
07.03.24
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
L
19.04.22
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
1
L
08.01.22
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
5
2
L
13.05.21
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
0
L
01.04.21
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
25.06.20
H2H
Breidablik
Keflavik
3
2
L

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 54:12 42 43
W L W W W
2 16 11 2 3 58:36 22 35
W W D L W
3 16 10 4 2 41:28 13 34
D W W D W
4 16 8 5 3 35:26 9 29
W D W W L
5 16 6 1 9 26:32 -6 19
L L L W D
6 16 5 4 7 25:33 -8 19
L W L D W
7 16 5 3 8 26:34 -8 18
W L L L L
8 16 4 4 8 26:34 -8 16
L D L W D
9 16 4 3 9 24:32 -8 15
D D W L L
10 16 4 3 9 29:41 -12 15
L L D W L
11 16 2 7 7 20:31 -11 13
D D W D D
12 16 3 3 10 17:42 -25 12
D W L D L