BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.8%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brasiliense Win 40%
Draw 22.2%
Goiatuba EC Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brasiliense0.94
Goiatuba EC1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brasiliense Brasiliense
WWDLW
11 GF / 10 GA
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WLDWL
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
7
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brasiliense Brasiliense 10 matches
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 10 matches
Brasiliense Statistic Goiatuba EC
3 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
11 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 7
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
7 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Goiatuba EC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Goiatuba EC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Brasiliense Analysis

Brasiliense come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 14 points from 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Tarta (4 goals), Marlone (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Goiatuba EC arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 19 points after 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Gabriel Silva (3 goals), Thalles (3 goals), Daniel Costa (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
Last matches: Brasiliense
07.06.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Primavera MG
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Luverdense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Inhumas
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Gama
2
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Gama
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Inhumas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Luverdense
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
1
D
Last matches: Brasiliense
31.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Luverdense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Inhumas
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Gama
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Operario Ferroviario
1
2
L
21.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Monte Azul
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cianorte
3
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
26.04.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
4
1
W

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)