BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Brasil DE Pelotas
Match Timeline
Independiente FSJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
Julio Simas
Brasil DE Pelotas
🟥
73'
Independiente FSJ
Independiente FSJ
74'
Gabriel Morbeck
Brasil DE Pelotas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
54.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
64.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Brasil DE Pelotas Win 63.7%
Draw 16.8%
Independiente FSJ Win 19.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brasil DE Pelotas1.2
Independiente FSJ1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ
WLDWL
1 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.5
2
Average Goals Conceded
0
2
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas 2 matches
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 2 matches
Brasil DE Pelotas Statistic Independiente FSJ
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
4 Goals For 1
4 Goals Against 0
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0
2 BTTS Yes 0
2 Over 1.5 0
2 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Independiente FSJ's more proactive style and Brasil DE Pelotas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente FSJ. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Independiente FSJ having the stronger overall control.

Brasil DE Pelotas Analysis

Brasil DE Pelotas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 3 points after 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, while the 4:4 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Iury Tanque (2 goals), Alan Bald (1 goals), Denis Germano (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Independiente FSJ Analysis

Independiente FSJ arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 4 points after 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 1:0 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Igor Guilherme (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Brasil DE Pelotas won 1 times, Independiente FSJ won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Brasil DE Pelotas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
H2H summary: Brasil DE Pelotas wins 1, draws 2, Independiente FSJ wins 1
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
07.06.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
4
L
02.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
4
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
19.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H: Brasil DE Pelotas vs Independiente FSJ
24.05.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
19.04.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
15.07.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
2
D
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
31.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
4
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
1
0
W
25.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
H2H at home: Brasil DE Pelotas
19.04.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
2
D
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H away: Independiente FSJ
19.04.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
2
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)