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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
09.10.2026 17:00
Brann Stadion
Referee: Tore Hansen, Norway
Brann
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
H. Heggheim · Assist: H. Bjordal
Viking
⚽
20'
P. Christiansen · Assist: H. Heggheim
Viking
🟥
39'
Kristoffer Askildsen
Viking
VAR
39'
Kristoffer Askildsen
Viking
🟨
45+4'
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson
Brann
🟨
45'
Jonas Torsvik
Brann
🔄
46'
V. Dragsnes ↔ J. Soltvedt
Brann
🔄
62'
J. Torsvik ↔ J. Laegreid
Brann
🔄
64'
E. Botheim ↔ J. Daland
Viking
🔄
64'
Z. Tripic ↔ S. Kvia-Egeskog
Viking
🔄
70'
N. Holm ↔ B. Finne
Brann
🔄
74'
P. Christiansen ↔ T. Moi
Viking
🔄
74'
H. Bjordal ↔ J. Hansen
Viking
🔄
80'
K. Eriksen ↔ N. Wassberg
Brann
🔄
89'
H. Heggheim ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking

Brann vs Viking Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
73.7%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
1.39 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.09 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 44.7%
Draw 8%
Viking Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann1.56
Viking2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
66 GF / 52 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
82 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
2.48
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1
28
BTTS Yes
22
27
Over 2.5
24
4.41
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 34 matches
Viking Viking 33 matches
Brann Statistic Viking
14 Wins 23
6 Draws 6
14 Losses 4
66 Goals For 82
52 Goals Against 33
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.48
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1
28 BTTS Yes 22
31 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 24
14 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 1
4.41 Shots On Goal 5.88
11.11 Total Shots 15.33
5.96 Corners 6.63
50.7% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Brann appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Viking. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 50 points while Brann sit 7 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brann expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Viking in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Viking. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Brann Analysis

So far, Brann have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 29 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 39:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Holm (6 goals), K. Ingason (6 goals), K. Eriksen (4 goals), with creative support from U. Mathisen (5 assists), K. Eriksen (3 assists), N. Castro (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without N. Boakye, U. Mathisen, N. Wassberg, K. M. Ingason, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Viking Analysis

Viking come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 50 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 54:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on P. Christiansen (10 goals), S. Kvia-Egeskog (8 goals), Z. Tripić (6 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripić (16 assists), P. Christiansen (5 assists), H. Heggheim (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Baertelsen, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 2 times, Viking won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:28 from Brann's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Viking 4-4-2
Missing players: Brann 5, Viking 4
H2H summary: Brann wins 2, draws 3, Viking wins 8

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7
Brann Home
22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen