NORWAY ELITESERIEN
12.07.2026 15:00
Brann Stadion
Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug, Norway
Brann
Match Timeline
Start
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. Hellan ↔ N. Holm
Brann
🔄
48'
S. Mvoue ↔ M. Soomets
Start
53'
H. Lorentzen · Assist: T. Strannegard
Start
🟨
55'
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Start
🔄
62'
B. Finne ↔ N. Castro
Brann
🔄
62'
T. Pedersen ↔ D. De Roeve
Brann
🔄
62'
K. M. Ingason ↔ U. Mathisen
Brann
68'
N. Holm
Brann
🔄
69'
H. Lorentzen ↔ E. Schulze
Start
🔄
69'
O. Toure ↔ F. Palerud
Start
🔄
78'
N. Wassberg ↔ J. Sorensen
Brann
🔄
87'
E. Reitan ↔ S. Griesbeck
Start
🔄
87'
M. Ugland ↔ J. Ampofo
Start
🟨
90+4'
Niklas Castro
Brann
90'
K. Eriksen · Assist: N. Castro
Brann

Brann vs Start Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 82.7%
Draw 8.7%
Start Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann2.08
Start1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
37 GF / 29 GA
Start Start
WLDWL
24 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
16
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
11
4.92
Shots on Goal
3.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 18 matches
Start Start 21 matches
Brann Statistic Start
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 12
37 Goals For 24
29 Goals Against 44
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
16 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 5
4.92 Shots On Goal 3.58
13 Total Shots 10.92
6.75 Corners 3.25
57.7% Ball Possession 40.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Brann's more proactive style and Start's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brann expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Start in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Start.

Brann Analysis

Brann approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 13 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 24:20 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kristall Máni Ingason (4 goals), N. Holm (4 goals), B. Finne (3 goals), with creative support from U. Mathisen (3 assists), B. Finne (2 assists), K. Eriksen (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Start Analysis

With 7 points from 12 games and a place of 16, Start still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Cornelius (4 goals), O. Toure (2 goals), Steve Mvoué (2 goals), with creative support from Erlend Segberg (2 assists), H. Lorentzen (2 assists), T. Strannegard (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 7 times, Start won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:5 from Brann's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Start 5-3-2
Missing players: Brann 9, Start 7
H2H summary: Brann wins 7, draws 2, Start wins 0

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7
Brann Home
21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16
Start Away
21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen