ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium
Braintree
Match Timeline
Rochdale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
A. Barlow
Rochdale
🟨
51'
J. Clarridge
Braintree
🟨
53'
A. Francis-Clarke
Braintree
🟨
56'
H. Gilmour
Rochdale
🟨
59'
L. Hannant
Rochdale
🔄
63'
B. Drake ↔ S. Kamara
Braintree
🔄
65'
L. Hannant ↔ D. Moss
Rochdale
🔄
65'
R. East ↔ E. Francis
Rochdale
🔄
74'
G. Babic ↔ J. Akinde
Braintree
🔄
75'
C. Cooper ↔ A. Hadi
Braintree
🔄
75'
M. Dibley-Dias ↔ E. Okunowo
Braintree
🔄
80'
A. Barlow ↔ J. Pritchard
Rochdale
🔄
80'
D. Rodney ↔ I. Henderson
Rochdale
🔄
84'
J. Clarridge ↔ M. Omrore
Braintree
🔄
90+4'
T. Adebayo-Rowling ↔ J. Gordon
Rochdale
90'
J. Akinde · Assist: E. Thorpe
Braintree
90'
E. Dieseruvwe
Rochdale

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 89.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
89.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61%
-
Probability Distribution
Braintree Win 10.4%
Draw 0%
Rochdale Win 89.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Braintree0.87
Rochdale1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Braintree Braintree
WWDLW
40 GF / 76 GA
Rochdale Rochdale
WLDWL
88 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
22
BTTS Yes
26
22
Over 2.5
27
3
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Braintree Braintree 47 matches
Rochdale Rochdale 47 matches
Braintree Statistic Rochdale
9 Wins 33
12 Draws 7
26 Losses 7
40 Goals For 88
76 Goals Against 42
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
22 BTTS Yes 26
33 Over 1.5 37
22 Over 2.5 27
13 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 21
19 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 0
10 Total Shots 0
4 Corners 0
53% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rochdale's more proactive style and Braintree's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rochdale carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 102 points while Braintree sit 23 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rochdale. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rochdale having the stronger overall control. Braintree have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Braintree Analysis

With 36 points from 44 games and a place of 23, Braintree still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 24 defeats with a 36:69 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Walker (9 goals), T. Works (7 goals), J. Akinde (4 goals), with creative support from C. Cooper (6 assists), T. Works (3 assists), B. Drake (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rochdale Analysis

Placed 2 with 102 points from 44 outings, Rochdale continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 32 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 85:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Dieseruvwe (24 goals), D. Rodney (8 goals), I. Henderson (8 goals), with creative support from T. Adebayo-Rowling (9 assists), D. Rodney (8 assists), E. Dieseruvwe (7 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Braintree won 1 times, Rochdale won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Braintree's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Braintree wins 1, draws 0, Rochdale wins 3

Lineups

Rochdale
Formation
Braintree
O. Whatmuff
O. Whatmuff
K. Gordon
K. Gordon
E. Ebanks-Landell
E. Ebanks-Landell
C. Perry
C. Perry
R. East
R. East
H. Gilmour
H. Gilmour
T. Adebayo-Rowling
T. Adebayo-Rowling
A. Barlow
A. Barlow
D. Rodney
D. Rodney
L. Hannant
L. Hannant
E. Dieseruvwe
E. Dieseruvwe
C. Ansen
C. Ansen
R. Battrum
R. Battrum
A. Francis-Clarke
A. Francis-Clarke
J. Clarridge
J. Clarridge
B. Drake
B. Drake
E. Thorpe
🎯
E. Thorpe
J. Vennings
J. Vennings
C. Cooper
C. Cooper
M. Dibley-Dias
M. Dibley-Dias
G. Babic
G. Babic
L. Walker
L. Walker
Rochdale 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Whatmuff
2
K. Gordon
6
E. Ebanks-Landell
25
C. Perry
4
R. East
↓ 65'
8
H. Gilmour
🟨 56'
14
T. Adebayo-Rowling
↓ 90+4'
18
A. Barlow
⚽ 36' ↓ 80'
10
D. Rodney
↓ 80'
12
L. Hannant
↓ 65' 🟨 59'
9
E. Dieseruvwe
⚽ 90'
Substitutes
16
C. Pettit
17
J. Pritchard
↑ 80'
22
D. Moss
↑ 65'
36
E. Francis
↑ 65'
37
J. Gordon
↑ 90+4'
38
T. Smith
40
I. Henderson
↑ 80'
Braintree 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
C. Ansen
8
R. Battrum
2
A. Francis-Clarke
🟨 53'
32
J. Clarridge
↓ 84' 🟨 51'
21
B. Drake
↓ 63'
39
E. Thorpe
🎯 90'
6
J. Vennings
11
C. Cooper
↓ 75'
19
M. Dibley-Dias
↓ 75'
16
G. Babic
↓ 74'
9
L. Walker
Substitutes
5
M. Omrore
↑ 84'
10
A. Hadi
↑ 75'
14
J. Akinde
⚽ 90' ↑ 74'
15
T. Smith
18
S. Kamara
↑ 63'
33
E. Okunowo
↑ 75'
Last matches: Braintree
25.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Tamworth
1
5
L
11.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Forest Green
1
3
L
06.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Woking
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Southend
2
3
L
28.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Carlisle
1
2
L
24.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Brackley Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Scunthorpe
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Morecambe
1
1
D
07.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Wealdstone
1
4
L
04.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Gateshead
0
1
L
28.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Truro City
3
2
W
25.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Aldershot Town
1
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Altrincham
1
2
L
14.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Solihull Moors
0
0
D
11.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Sutton Utd
1
1
D
31.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Eastleigh
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Braintree
York
0
5
L
17.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
10.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Boston United
0
0
D
03.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Yeovil Town
1
3
L
Last matches: Rochdale
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
21.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Woking
3
0
W
17.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
11.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Forest Green
2
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Carlisle
1
0
W
H2H: Braintree vs Rochdale
18.04.26
H2H
Braintree
Rochdale
1
2
L
06.09.25
H2H
Rochdale
Braintree
2
0
L
05.05.25
H2H
Braintree
Rochdale
2
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Rochdale
Braintree
1
0
L
Last matches: Braintree
06.04.26
Nat
Braintree
Woking
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Carlisle
1
2
L
21.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Scunthorpe
2
3
L
07.03.26
Nat
Braintree
Wealdstone
1
4
L
25.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Aldershot Town
1
2
L
14.02.26
Nat
Braintree
Solihull Moors
0
0
D
31.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Eastleigh
2
1
W
17.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
10.01.26
Nat
Braintree
Boston United
0
0
D
26.12.25
Nat
Braintree
Southend
0
1
L
21.12.25
Nat
Braintree
Hartlepool
0
0
D
29.11.25
Nat
Braintree
Morecambe
1
0
W
15.11.25
Nat
Braintree
Truro City
2
0
W
05.11.25
Nat
Braintree
Brackley Town
0
1
L
25.10.25
Nat
Braintree
Altrincham
0
0
D
11.10.25
FA
Braintree
Farnborough
2
0
W
04.10.25
Nat
Braintree
Sutton Utd
0
0
D
27.09.25
Nat
Braintree
Gateshead
1
2
L
13.09.25
Nat
Braintree
York
2
3
L
02.09.25
Nat
Braintree
Tamworth
1
2
L
H2H at home: Braintree
18.04.26
H2H
Braintree
Rochdale
1
2
L
05.05.25
H2H
Braintree
Rochdale
2
0
W
Last matches: Rochdale
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
14.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
21.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
1
0
W
17.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Gateshead
2
0
W
13.01.26
FA
Rochdale
Tamworth
1
1
D
26.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
1
W
19.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Altrincham
3
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Rochdale
Leamington
1
0
W
22.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
2
1
W
11.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
4
L
08.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
3
1
W
25.10.25
Nat
Rochdale
Woking
0
0
D
04.10.25
Nat
Rochdale
Forest Green
1
0
W
H2H away: Rochdale
18.04.26
H2H
Braintree
Rochdale
1
2
W
05.05.25
H2H
Braintree
Rochdale
2
0
L

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation