AUSTRALIA VICTORIA PREMIER LEAGUE 2
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Box Hill
Match Timeline
Keilor Park
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
Keilor Park
Keilor Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Box Hill Win 54.6%
Draw 12%
Keilor Park Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Box Hill1.47
Keilor Park1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Box Hill Box Hill
WWDLW
33 GF / 26 GA
Keilor Park Keilor Park
WLDWL
29 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
14
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Box Hill Box Hill 21 matches
Keilor Park Keilor Park 21 matches
Box Hill Statistic Keilor Park
9 Wins 11
6 Draws 1
6 Losses 9
33 Goals For 29
26 Goals Against 28
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
14 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Keilor Park having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Keilor Park. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Box Hill Analysis

So far, Box Hill have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 33 points from 21 matches. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 33:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Keilor Park Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 34 points from 21 games, Keilor Park bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:28, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Box Hill won 0 times, Keilor Park won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Box Hill's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Box Hill wins 0, draws 1, Keilor Park wins 1
Last matches: Box Hill
15.08.26
Vic
Box Hill
Moreland City
2
2
D
07.08.26
Vic
Box Hill
Bayside Argonauts
1
0
W
24.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Eastern Lions
1
1
D
17.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Altona City
3
1
W
10.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Essendon Royals SC
2
3
L
03.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Whittlesea United
1
3
L
19.06.26
Vic
Box Hill
Kingston City
3
1
W
05.06.26
Vic
Box Hill
Werribee City
0
2
L
29.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Malvern
2
1
W
22.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Springvale
2
1
W
16.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Goulburn Valley Suns
1
2
L
09.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Nunawading
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Moreland City
3
1
W
24.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Keilor Park
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Eastern Lions
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Altona City
1
0
W
27.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Essendon Royals SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Whittlesea United
0
0
D
13.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Kingston City
4
0
W
07.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Bayside Argonauts
1
1
D
Last matches: Keilor Park
14.08.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Whittlesea United
3
3
D
08.08.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Goulburn Valley Suns
0
4
L
24.07.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Bayside Argonauts
0
1
L
18.07.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Werribee City
3
1
W
11.07.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Malvern
1
0
W
03.07.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Springvale
2
5
L
26.06.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Moreland City
2
0
W
12.06.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Nunawading
0
2
L
29.05.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Kingston City
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Eastern Lions
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Altona City
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Essendon Royals SC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Whittlesea United
0
4
L
24.04.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Box Hill
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Bayside Argonauts
1
2
L
10.04.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Werribee City
2
1
W
28.03.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Malvern
0
1
L
20.03.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Springvale
3
1
W
14.03.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Goulburn Valley Suns
4
2
W
06.03.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Nunawading
1
2
L
H2H: Box Hill vs Keilor Park
31.07.26
H2H
Box Hill
Keilor Park
0
1
L
24.04.26
H2H
Keilor Park
Box Hill
1
1
D
Last matches: Box Hill
17.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Altona City
3
1
W
03.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Whittlesea United
1
3
L
19.06.26
Vic
Box Hill
Kingston City
3
1
W
05.06.26
Vic
Box Hill
Werribee City
0
2
L
22.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Springvale
2
1
W
16.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Goulburn Valley Suns
1
2
L
01.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Moreland City
3
1
W
17.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Eastern Lions
1
1
D
27.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Essendon Royals SC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Bayside Argonauts
1
1
D
20.02.26
Vic
Box Hill
Malvern
0
2
L
H2H at home: Box Hill
31.07.26
H2H
Box Hill
Keilor Park
0
1
L
Last matches: Keilor Park
18.07.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Werribee City
3
1
W
03.07.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Springvale
2
5
L
12.06.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Nunawading
0
2
L
16.05.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Altona City
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Whittlesea United
0
4
L
18.04.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Bayside Argonauts
1
2
L
28.03.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Malvern
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Goulburn Valley Suns
4
2
W
28.02.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Moreland City
3
2
W
20.02.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Kingston City
1
2
L
13.02.26
Vic
Keilor Park
Eastern Lions
0
1
L
H2H away: Keilor Park
31.07.26
H2H
Box Hill
Keilor Park
0
1
W

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 2 5 61:29 32 53
W D W W W
2 24 16 4 4 54:31 23 52
W W L W W
3 24 15 2 7 60:36 24 47
W W W D W
4 24 13 5 6 42:30 12 44
W L W W D
5 24 12 2 10 33:35 -2 38
D L W L W
6 24 10 7 7 36:29 7 37
D W L D W
7 24 8 10 6 40:28 12 34
D W D D D
8 24 8 5 11 29:44 -15 29
L W L L W
9 24 6 8 10 37:38 -1 26
L D L D D
10 24 8 2 14 32:52 -20 26
W W L L L
11 23 7 4 12 21:39 -18 25
L L L W L
12 24 6 6 12 35:43 -8 24
L W D L L
13 24 3 8 13 21:38 -17 17
L L D L L
14 23 2 7 14 29:58 -29 13
D L L D L