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31.10.2026 15:00
Vitality Stadium
Referee: M. Salisbury
Bournemouth
Match Timeline
Leeds
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
14'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
⚽
31'
Francisco Evanilson · Assist: Justin Kluivert
Bournemouth
🟨
35'
Nico Elvedi
Leeds
🟨
35'
Daniel Farke
Leeds
🟨
45+2'
Ryan Christie
Bournemouth
🟨
62'
Ethan Ampadu
Leeds
🔄
65'
Gabriel Gudmundsson ↔ Sean Longstaff
Leeds
🔄
65'
Ao Tanaka ↔ Anton Stach
Leeds
🔄
65'
Daniel James ↔ Lukas Nmecha
Leeds
🔄
68'
Justin Kluivert ↔ Eli Kroupi
Bournemouth
🔄
68'
Ryan Christie ↔ Lewis Cook
Bournemouth
🟨
74'
Tyler Adams
Bournemouth
🔄
76'
Francisco Evanilson ↔ Álvaro Rodríguez
Bournemouth
🔄
84'
James Justin ↔ Jean Matteo Bahoya
Leeds
🔄
84'
Harry Wilson ↔ Brenden Aaronson
Leeds
🔄
88'
Adam Smith ↔ Bafode Diakite
Bournemouth
🔄
88'
Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha ↔ Amine Adli
Bournemouth
⚽
90+4'
Amine Adli · Assist: Eli Kroupi
Bournemouth

Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
78.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 53.5%
Draw 24.9%
Leeds Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth1.83
Leeds1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth Bournemouth
W W W W L
12 GF / 5 GA
Leeds Leeds
D D L D W
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.63
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
11
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
3
5.18
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bournemouth Bournemouth 16 matches
Leeds Leeds 11 matches
Bournemouth Statistic Leeds
8 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
4 Losses 1
42 Goals For 16
22 Goals Against 7
2.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
11 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 8
13 Over 2.5 3
7 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
5.18 Shots On Goal 4
15.45 Total Shots 11.75
4.82 Corners 4.13
51.2% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 2 times, Leeds won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Bournemouth's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (78.4%)
Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Bournemouth 3, Leeds 4
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 2, draws 2, Leeds wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 15:5 10 27
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 26:7 19 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 21:13 8 21
L L L W W
4 10 5 3 2 14:10 4 18
W L W W L
5 10 5 1 4 19:16 3 16
L W L W W
6 10 4 4 2 12:10 2 16
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 16:14 2 15
W W W W L
8 10 3 5 2 16:11 5 14
L W D L D
9
Leeds Away
10 3 5 2 10:8 2 14
W L D D L
10 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
D D W W D
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
L W W W D
12 10 3 3 4 13:16 -3 12
D L W L L
13 10 2 5 3 11:11 0 11
L D D L D
14 10 3 2 5 15:20 -5 11
L D D L W
15 10 2 4 4 10:12 -2 10
D D W W L
16 10 2 3 5 9:13 -4 9
W L D L L
17 10 3 0 7 10:19 -9 9
L W L L W
18 10 1 5 4 14:19 -5 8
D L L D D
19 10 2 2 6 8:17 -9 8
W L D L L
20 10 2 1 7 10:24 -14 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship