Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 64.9%
Draw 5.9%
Genoa Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth3.1
Genoa1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth
WWDLW
9 GF / 3 GA
Genoa
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
4.5
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bournemouth
2 matches
Genoa
3 matches
| Bournemouth | Statistic | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 0 |
| 9 | Goals For | 5 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 4.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 1 times, Genoa won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:1 from Bournemouth's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 11 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Genoa 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 1, draws 0, Genoa wins 0
Lineups
Genoa
Formation
Bournemouth
J. Bijlow
A. Marcandalli
S. Otoa
J. Vasquez
B. Norton-Cuffy
Amorim
M. Frendrup
M. E. Ellertsson
M. Mitaj
T. Baldanzi
L. Colombo
W. Dennis
A. Truffert
A. Scott
Evanilson
B. Gannon-Doak
A. Silva
B. Diakite
J. Kluivert
A. Toth
M. Aarons
Rayan
Genoa
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
J. Bijlow
A. Marcandalli
S. Otoa
J. Vasquez
B. Norton-Cuffy
Amorim
M. Frendrup
M. E. Ellertsson
M. Mitaj
T. Baldanzi
L. Colombo
Substitutes
D. Puczka
F. Stolz
M. Doucoure
L. Klisys
S. Sabelli
S. Wiafe
P. Masini
C. B. Doumbia
A. Martin
A. Zulevic
Vitinha
Bournemouth
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
W. Dennis
A. Truffert
A. Scott
Evanilson
B. Gannon-Doak
A. Silva
B. Diakite
J. Kluivert
A. Toth
M. Aarons
Rayan
Substitutes
D. Jebbison
L. Cook
D. Brooks
F. Forster
A. Smith
C. Stevens
R. Rees-Dottin
Z. Christie
M. Dacosta
A. Adli
M. Tavernier
E. Unal
Last matches: Bournemouth
23.08.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
Last matches: Genoa
22.08.26
Ser
Genoa
Napoli
0
2
L
16.08.26
Cop
Genoa
Ascoli
4
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Genoa
Deportivo La Coruna
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Genoa
Leicester
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Genoa
Vicenza Virtus
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Genoa
Trento
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Genoa
Lecce
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Genoa
AC Milan
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Genoa
Fiorentina
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Genoa
Atalanta
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Genoa
Como
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Genoa
Pisa
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Genoa
Sassuolo
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ser
Genoa
Juventus
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Genoa
Udinese
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Genoa
Hellas Verona
2
0
W
08.03.26
Ser
Genoa
AS Roma
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Genoa
Inter
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Genoa
Torino
3
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Genoa
Cremonese
0
0
D
H2H: Bournemouth vs Genoa
04.08.26
H2H
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
Last matches: Bournemouth
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Liverpool
3
2
W
07.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Tottenham
3
2
W
03.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0
0
D
02.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
03.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
3
1
W
21.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
W
23.08.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bournemouth
04.08.26
H2H
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
Last matches: Genoa
01.08.26
Fri
Genoa
Leicester
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Genoa
Lecce
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Genoa
Fiorentina
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Genoa
Atalanta
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Genoa
Pisa
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ser
Genoa
Juventus
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Genoa
Hellas Verona
2
0
W
28.02.26
Ser
Genoa
Inter
0
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Genoa
Cremonese
0
0
D
30.01.26
Ser
Genoa
Lazio
2
3
L
18.01.26
Ser
Genoa
Parma
0
0
D
08.01.26
Ser
Genoa
AC Milan
1
1
D
29.12.25
Ser
Genoa
AS Roma
1
3
L
08.12.25
Ser
Genoa
Udinese
2
1
W
03.12.25
Cop
Genoa
Atalanta
0
4
L
22.11.25
Ser
Genoa
Cagliari
3
3
D
03.11.25
Ser
Genoa
Sassuolo
2
1
W
26.10.25
Ser
Genoa
Torino
1
2
L
05.10.25
Ser
Genoa
Napoli
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Genoa
Bologna
1
2
L
H2H away: Genoa
04.08.26
H2H
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
L