ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vitality Stadium
Referee: R. Jones
Bournemouth
Match Timeline
Crystal Palace
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace
10'
J. Lerma
Bournemouth
32'
E. J. Kroupi
Bournemouth
🟨
38'
Maxence Lacroix
Crystal Palace
🔄
46'
Y. Pino ↔ I. Sarr
Crystal Palace
🔄
46'
D. Munoz ↔ T. Mitchell
Crystal Palace
🔄
46'
D. Kamada ↔ A. Wharton
Crystal Palace
🔄
65'
J. S. Larsen ↔ J. Mateta
Crystal Palace
🔄
69'
T. Adams ↔ R. Christie
Bournemouth
🔄
70'
E. J. Kroupi ↔ D. Brooks
Bournemouth
🔄
76'
C. Riad ↔ C. Richards
Crystal Palace
77'
Rayan · Assist: D. Brooks
Bournemouth
🔄
80'
Evanilson ↔ E. Unal
Bournemouth
🔄
86'
Rayan ↔ A. Adli
Bournemouth
🔄
86'
M. Tavernier ↔ B. Doak
Bournemouth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
86.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 46.5%
Draw 15.4%
Crystal Palace Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth1.35
Crystal Palace1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WWDLW
54 GF / 54 GA
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WLDWL
61 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
24
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
25
4.97
Shots on Goal
4.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bournemouth Bournemouth 35 matches
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 49 matches
Bournemouth Statistic Crystal Palace
11 Wins 19
17 Draws 14
7 Losses 16
54 Goals For 61
54 Goals Against 52
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
24 BTTS Yes 25
27 Over 1.5 34
21 Over 2.5 25
17 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 19
7 Failed To Score 13
4.97 Shots On Goal 4.24
14.09 Total Shots 13.1
5.66 Corners 4.53
50.1% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bournemouth expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Crystal Palace in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crystal Palace having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Crystal Palace. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Bournemouth Analysis

Bournemouth sit 7 with 49 points after 34 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 16 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 52:52 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Semenyo (15 goals), Eli Junior Kroupi (11 goals), Evanilson (6 goals), with creative support from M. Senesi (5 assists), A. Semenyo (4 assists), M. Tavernier (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Crystal Palace Analysis

Crystal Palace are currently 13 in the standings with 43 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 36:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jean-Philippe Mateta (10 goals), I. Sarr (7 goals), Daniel Muñoz (4 goals), with creative support from Adam Wharton (5 assists), Jefferson Lerma (3 assists), Daniel Muñoz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 4 times, Crystal Palace won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Bournemouth's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Bournemouth 3, Crystal Palace 3
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 4, draws 6, Crystal Palace wins 5
Stats
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 0
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
391 Total passes 405
320 Passes accurate 314
2.08 expected_goals 0.89
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bournemouth
Formation
Crystal Palace
D. Petrovic
D. Petrovic
A. Jimenez
A. Jimenez
J. Hill
J. Hill
M. Senesi
M. Senesi
A. Truffert
A. Truffert
A. Scott
A. Scott
T. Adams
T. Adams
Rayan
Rayan
E. J. Kroupi
E. J. Kroupi
M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier
Evanilson
Evanilson
D. Henderson
D. Henderson
J. Canvot
J. Canvot
M. Lacroix
M. Lacroix
C. Riad
C. Riad
D. Munoz
D. Munoz
J. Lerma
J. Lerma
D. Kamada
D. Kamada
J. Devenny
J. Devenny
B. Johnson
B. Johnson
J. S. Larsen
J. S. Larsen
Y. Pino
Y. Pino
Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Petrovic
G
20
A. Jimenez
D
23
J. Hill
D
5
M. Senesi
D
3
A. Truffert
D
8
A. Scott
M
12
T. Adams
↓ 69'
M
37
Rayan
⚽ 77' ↓ 86'
M
22
E. J. Kroupi
⚽ 32' ↓ 70'
M
16
M. Tavernier
↓ 86'
M
9
Evanilson
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
29
C. Mandas
G
15
A. Smith
D
10
R. Christie
↑ 69'
M
26
E. Unal
↑ 80'
F
18
B. Diakite
D
7
D. Brooks
🎯 77' ↑ 70'
M
21
A. Adli
↑ 86'
F
11
B. Doak
↑ 86'
F
27
A. Toth
M
Crystal Palace 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Henderson
G
23
J. Canvot
🟨 6'
D
5
M. Lacroix
🟨 38'
D
34
C. Riad
↓ 76'
D
2
D. Munoz
↓ 46'
M
8
J. Lerma
⚽ 10'
M
18
D. Kamada
↓ 46'
M
55
J. Devenny
M
11
B. Johnson
F
22
J. S. Larsen
↓ 65'
F
10
Y. Pino
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
44
W. Benitez
G
31
R. Matthews
G
17
N. Clyne
D
7
I. Sarr
↑ 46'
F
14
J. Mateta
↑ 65'
F
26
C. Richards
↑ 76'
D
3
T. Mitchell
↑ 46'
D
20
A. Wharton
↑ 46'
M
59
R. Cardines
M
Last matches: Bournemouth
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Liverpool
3
2
W
19.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
1
D
Last matches: Crystal Palace
07.08.26
Fri
Crystal Palace
Fulham
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Crystal Palace
Bromley
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Crystal Palace
Swindon Town
5
1
W
27.05.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brentford
2
2
D
13.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
0
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Everton
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
1
3
L
20.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
West Ham
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
2
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Leeds
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
1
2
L
H2H: Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
03.05.26
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
3
3
D
19.04.25
H2H
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
0
0
D
26.12.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
02.04.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
1
0
W
06.12.23
H2H
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
0
2
W
13.05.23
H2H
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
2
0
L
31.12.22
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
2
L
15.09.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
20.06.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
2
L
03.12.19
H2H
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
1
0
L
12.05.19
H2H
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
5
3
L
01.10.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
07.04.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
09.12.17
H2H
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
2
2
D
Last matches: Bournemouth
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Liverpool
3
2
W
07.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Tottenham
3
2
W
03.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0
0
D
02.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
03.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
3
1
W
21.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
W
23.08.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bournemouth
03.05.26
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
26.12.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
02.04.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
1
0
W
31.12.22
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
2
L
15.09.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
20.06.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
2
L
01.10.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
07.04.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
Last matches: Crystal Palace
07.08.26
Fri
Crystal Palace
Fulham
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Crystal Palace
Bromley
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brentford
2
2
D
13.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
0
3
L
30.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
1
3
L
16.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
05.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Crystal Palace
Macclesfield
1
2
L
04.01.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Leeds
1
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
Crystal Palace
Shelbourne
3
0
W
07.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Fulham
2
1
W
03.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Burnley
1
0
W
H2H away: Crystal Palace
03.05.26
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
L
26.12.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
02.04.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
1
0
L
31.12.22
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
2
W
15.09.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
20.06.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
0
2
W
01.10.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2
1
L
07.04.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
2
2
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Missing Players

Bournemouth 3 missing
-
L. Cook
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Kluivert
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Soler
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
Crystal Palace 3 missing
-
E. Guessand
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
E. Nketiah
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
C. Doucoure
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT