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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
02.12.2026 20:00
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth1.79
Brighton2.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WWDLW
36 GF / 22 GA
Brighton Brighton
WLDWL
39 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
3
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
11
BTTS Yes
3
11
Over 2.5
9
5.11
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bournemouth Bournemouth 14 matches
Brighton Brighton 13 matches
Bournemouth Statistic Brighton
6 Wins 10
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 1
36 Goals For 39
22 Goals Against 8
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 3
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
11 BTTS Yes 3
13 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 10
1 Failed To Score 1
5.11 Shots On Goal 6.5
15.56 Total Shots 20.6
4.78 Corners 7.1
51.2% Ball Possession 64.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 6 times, Brighton won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Bournemouth's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 6, draws 2, Brighton wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 19:7 12 21
W W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 11:5 6 18
W W L W W
3 7 5 1 1 23:5 18 16
W W W W D
4 7 4 1 2 17:13 4 13
W W L D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:8 1 12
W L W D W
6 7 2 4 1 13:8 5 10
L D W D D
7 7 2 4 1 9:6 3 10
D L D W D
8 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
9 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D L D D
10 7 3 0 4 11:15 -4 9
L W L W L
11 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
L L W L D
12 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
W D W L D
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D D D L D
14 7 2 1 4 9:17 -8 7
L W D L W
15 7 1 3 3 9:13 -4 6
W L L D D
16 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
W D L D D
17 7 2 0 5 6:14 -8 6
L W W L L
18 7 1 2 4 7:10 -3 5
W L D D L
19 7 1 2 4 5:9 -4 5
L L L W D
20 7 1 1 5 6:14 -8 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship